1 census tracts · pop 5,745 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10
· range 5.2–5.2
Duke Homestead is a one-tract neighborhood of Durham, NC and houses 5,745 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.2/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Durham baseline of 29.4%, 51% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
Severe burden reaches 33%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10.
The poverty rate is 18%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The filing record is not thin: 1,184 evictions logged in this tract. Filing activity peaked in 2013 at 12.6% of renter households.
Recent filings have not receded much: 10.7% in 2017 against a 12.6% peak. Among the 58 mapped neighborhoods of Durham, it ranks #12 by risk, the upper third. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Average gross rent runs $1,532, close to the Durham average. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $64,263.
46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
One tract means one number: 5.2/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Duke Homestead vs DurhamHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority67%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport63%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Duke Homestead
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
1,184Total filings (sum)
11.06%Avg annual filing rate
12.6%Peak year (2013)
10.70%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Duke Homestead
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
13.1%Housing insecurity
8.7%Utility shutoff threat
16.1%Food insecurity
13.3%SNAP enrollment
11.7%No health insurance
31.6%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Duke Homestead
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Duke Homestead?
Duke Homestead scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Duke Homestead compare to Durham overall?
Duke Homestead scores 1.2 points higher than Durham overall (4/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,532 vs $1,508.
Q3
What is the average rent in Duke Homestead?
Average gross rent in Duke Homestead is $1,532/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Duke Homestead residents are renters?
46% of Duke Homestead households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Durham). The neighborhood has 5,745 residents.
Q5
Is Duke Homestead a high social-vulnerability area?
Duke Homestead sits in the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Duke Homestead for landlords?
Duke Homestead carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Durham as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Duke Homestead?
Duke Homestead has 5,278 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (45.4%), Hispanic / Latino (24%), Black (non-Hispanic) (18.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
