Neighborhood · Durham, NC

Duke Homestead Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 5,745 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 4.5–4.5

Duke Homestead is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Durham with 1 census tract and a population of 5,745 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 51% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 33% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,532/month sits 2% higher than the Durham citywide average ($1,508).

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Duke Homestead vs Durham How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

50.8% +73%

Durham: 29.4%

Average gross rent

$1,532 +2%

Durham: $1,508

Average HH income

$64,263 -19%

Durham: $79,234

Poverty rate

18.4% +51%

Durham: 12.2%

Renter share

45.8% -4%

Durham: 47.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Duke Homestead and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.5–4.5

Why Duke Homestead scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts

8.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Rent control risk

51% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

46% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Economic stress

18.4% below poverty line · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts

4.6

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Risk score comparison

Duke Homestead vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Duke Homestead

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
37063001705	4.5	5,745	51%	$1,532

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 76

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 65%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 87%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 67%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 63%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Duke Homestead

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,184Total filings (sum)
11.06%Avg annual filing rate
12.6%Peak year (2013)
10.70%Latest filed (2017)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Duke Homestead

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

13.1%Housing insecurity
8.7%Utility shutoff threat
16.1%Food insecurity
13.3%SNAP enrollment
11.7%No health insurance
31.6%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Duke Homestead

What is the eviction-risk score for Duke Homestead?

Duke Homestead scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Duke Homestead compare to Durham overall?

Duke Homestead scores 1.1 points higher than Durham overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,532 vs $1,508.

What is the average rent in Duke Homestead?

Average gross rent in Duke Homestead is $1,532/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Duke Homestead residents are renters?

46% of Duke Homestead households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Durham). The neighborhood has 5,745 residents.

Is Duke Homestead a high social-vulnerability area?

Duke Homestead sits in the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Duke Homestead for landlords?

Duke Homestead carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Durham as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Duke Homestead?

Duke Homestead has 5,278 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (45.4%), Hispanic / Latino (24%), Black (non-Hispanic) (18.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Duke Homestead

4.4 Horton Hills 2 tracts · pop 9,513 3.9 Crest Street 2 tracts · pop 6,841 5.2 Annie Day Shepard Dormitory 4 tracts · pop 11,781 5.2 Hillcrest 2 tracts · pop 8,879 3.6 Hope Valley North 2 tracts · pop 10,080 5.1 Keene 2 tracts · pop 13,770

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Durham

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Duke Homestead.

4.5 Braggtown 1 tracts · pop 3,710 4.5 Beech Lake 2 tracts · pop 4,792 4.4 Horton Hills 2 tracts · pop 9,513 4.7 Swann's Mill 1 tracts · pop 8,069 4.7 Hayti 1 tracts · pop 2,228 4.7 L L Wilkins 1 tracts · pop 6,965

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