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Neighborhood · Durham, NC

Gorman Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 8,934 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 4.4–4.4

Gorman maps to a single census tract in Durham, NC, population 8,934. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.4/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10.

Running cool is economic stress, at 2.6/10. Court records for this tract carry 1,218 eviction filings.

Against a Durham baseline of 29.4%, roughly one in three of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The worst year on record was 2006, when filings touched 45.7% of renter households. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 3/10.

Food insecurity affects 26.1% of adults, 8.3 points above the national rate. The most recent observed rate, 16.5% in 2017, is well off that peak. That places it #19 of 58 neighborhoods in Durham.

Only 27% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,493, close to the Durham average.

Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $63,616.

One tract means one number: 4.4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Gorman vs Durham How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
33.8% +15%
Durham: 29.4%
Average gross rent
$1,493 -1%
Durham: $1,508
Average HH income
$63,616 -20%
Durham: $79,234
Poverty rate
10.3% -16%
Durham: 12.2%
Renter share
27.4% -43%
Durham: 47.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Gorman and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.4–4.4

Why Gorman scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
34% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
27% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
10.3% below poverty line · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts
2.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Risk score comparison

Gorman vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Gorman score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Gorman: 4.44.4GormanNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 3.93.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Gorman

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37063001801 4.4 8,934 34% $1,493
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 83

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 76%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 91%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 82%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 62%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Gorman

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,218Total filings (sum)
  • 25.10%Avg annual filing rate
  • 45.7%Peak year (2006)
  • 16.54%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Gorman

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Gorman

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Gorman?

Gorman scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Gorman compare to Durham overall?

Gorman scores 0.4 points higher than Durham overall (4/10). Renters spend 34% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,493 vs $1,508.
Q3

What is the average rent in Gorman?

Average gross rent in Gorman is $1,493/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Gorman residents are renters?

27% of Gorman households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Durham). The neighborhood has 8,934 residents.
Q5

Is Gorman a high social-vulnerability area?

Gorman sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Gorman for landlords?

Gorman carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Durham as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Gorman?

Gorman has 8,437 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (39.4%), Hispanic / Latino (31.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (25.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Gorman

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Durham

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Gorman.

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