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Neighborhood · Durham, NC

Gorman Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 8,934 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 4.4–4.4

Gorman maps to a single census tract in Durham, NC, population 8,934. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.4/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10.

Running cool is economic stress, at 2.6/10. Court records for this tract carry 1,218 eviction filings.

Against a Durham baseline of 29.4%, roughly one in three of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The worst year on record was 2006, when filings touched 45.7% of renter households. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 3/10.

Food insecurity affects 26.1% of adults, 8.3 points above the national rate. The most recent observed rate, 16.5% in 2017, is well off that peak. That places it #19 of 58 neighborhoods in Durham.

Only 27% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,493, close to the Durham average.

Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $63,616.

One tract means one number: 4.4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Gorman vs Durham How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
33.8% +15%
Durham: 29.4%
Average gross rent
$1,493 -1%
Durham: $1,508
Average HH income
$63,616 -20%
Durham: $79,234
Poverty rate
10.3% -16%
Durham: 12.2%
Renter share
27.4% -43%
Durham: 47.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Gorman and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.4–4.4

Why Gorman scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
34% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
27% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
10.3% below poverty line · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts
2.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Risk score comparison

Gorman vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Gorman score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.4GormanNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Gorman

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
37063001801 4.4 8,934 34% $1,493
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 83

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 76%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 91%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 82%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 62%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Gorman

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,218Total filings (sum)
  • 25.10%Avg annual filing rate
  • 45.7%Peak year (2006)
  • 16.54%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Gorman

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Gorman

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Gorman?

Gorman scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Gorman compare to Durham overall?

Gorman scores 0.4 points higher than Durham overall (4/10). Renters spend 34% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,493 vs $1,508.
Q3

What is the average rent in Gorman?

Average gross rent in Gorman is $1,493/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Gorman residents are renters?

27% of Gorman households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Durham). The neighborhood has 8,934 residents.
Q5

Is Gorman a high social-vulnerability area?

Gorman sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Gorman for landlords?

Gorman carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Durham as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Gorman?

Gorman has 8,437 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (39.4%), Hispanic / Latino (31.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (25.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Gorman

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Durham

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Gorman.

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