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Census Tract · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally

Bismarck Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 38015010500 · Burleigh County, ND · pop 5,173

Census tract 38015010500 covers part of Bismarck, ND, and scores 3.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,173 residents. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 18% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,998
Renter share28.2%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate6.8%
Median income$86,842

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#11 of 16 tracts In Bismarck
Low
Within county
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 19 tracts In Burleigh County
Moderate
Within state
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#114 of 228 tracts In North Dakota
Moderate
National
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#63,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bismarck and the region

Centroid at 46.8181, -100.8067 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bismarck scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bismarck
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.8% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$894 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bismarck
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bismarck
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bismarck
1.5

How Bismarck compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bismarck risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.2This tracttract 0105003.2Bismarckparent city3.6Countyavg tract in county3.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 34

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bismarck

Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

SNAP participation runs 4.3% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 7.6% against 17.8% nationally.

At $894 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Bismarck commands. On the national scale it lands near the 25th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 4.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Rent consumes only 12% of average household income of $86,842, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for roughly one in three of renters.

It tracks the Burleigh County average of 3.6 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 38015010500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38015010500?

Census tract 38015010500 in Bismarck scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 38015010500?

Median gross rent is $894/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 38015010500?

6.8% of residents in tract 38015010500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,173.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 38015010500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 41th, minority 26th, housing 62th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 38015010500 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 38015010500 compare to Bismarck overall?

Tract 38015010500 scores 3.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Bismarck at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bismarck eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bismarck

Top eight tracts in Bismarck ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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