Census Tract · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Bismarck Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 38015010500 ·
Burleigh County, ND · pop 5,173
Census tract 38015010500 covers part of Bismarck, ND, and scores 3.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,173 residents. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%Stable renters 18%Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,998
Renter share28.2%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate6.8%
Median income$86,842
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
33th percentile
#11 of 16 tracts In Bismarck
Low
Within county
44th percentile
#11 of 19 tracts In Burleigh County
Moderate
Within state
50th percentile
#114 of 228 tracts In North Dakota
Moderate
National
25th percentile
#63,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bismarck and the region
Centroid at 46.8181, -100.8067 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bismarck scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bismarck
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.8% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$894 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bismarck
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bismarck
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bismarck
1.5
How Bismarck compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 34
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
7.0%Housing insecurity
4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
7.6%Food insecurity
4.3%SNAP enrollment
5.4%Transit barriers
5.8%No health insurance
13.8%Frequent mental distress
25.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bismarck
Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
SNAP participation runs 4.3% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 7.6% against 17.8% nationally.
At $894 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Bismarck commands. On the national scale it lands near the 25th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 4.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Rent consumes only 12% of average household income of $86,842, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for roughly one in three of renters.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 38015010500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38015010500?
Census tract 38015010500 in Bismarck scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 38015010500?
Median gross rent is $894/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 38015010500?
6.8% of residents in tract 38015010500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,173.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 38015010500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 41th, minority 26th, housing 62th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 38015010500 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 38015010500 compare to Bismarck overall?
Tract 38015010500 scores 3.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Bismarck at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bismarck eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bismarck
Top eight tracts in Bismarck ranked by composite eviction-risk score.