Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Middletown
Tract 39017012200 · Butler County, OH · pop 3,198 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 39017012200 (the Downtown area of Middletown, Ohio) comes in at $1/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 74th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $840 a month against an average household income of $42,347 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 47% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,339
Renter share47.4%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate21.9%
Median income$42,347
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middletown and the region
Centroid at 39.5311, -84.3882 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Middletown
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
21.9% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$840 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
7.1
How Downtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 64%Household composition
- 19%Racial/ethnic minority
- 46%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,617Total filings over 13 yrs
- 17.06%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.5%Peak (2006)
- 103Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 36% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.0%Housing insecurity
- 12.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.9%Food insecurity
- 21.1%SNAP enrollment
- 11.8%Transit barriers
- 11.4%No health insurance
- 22.4%Frequent mental distress
- 35.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Middletown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Butler County average of 5.5 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,617 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 17.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 23.5% of renter households in 2006.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 39017012200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39017012200?
Census tract 39017012200 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39017012200?
Median gross rent is $840/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39017012200?
21.9% of residents in tract 39017012200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,198.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39017012200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 64th, minority 19th, housing 46th.
Q5
Is tract 39017012200 considered part of Downtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39017012200 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39017012200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,617 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39017012200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.06% of renter households, peaking at 23.5% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39017012200 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39017012200 compare to Middletown overall?
Tract 39017012200 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Middletown at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Middletown
Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Downtown
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017014000
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Rosedale / The Oaks
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
South Main Street Historic District
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
South Main Street Historic District
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39017013600
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39017013500
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39017013400
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Related