Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,870 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Middletown
Tract 39017012200 · Butler County, OH · pop 3,198 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Census tract 39017012200 sits in the Downtown neighborhood of Middletown, Ohio. It has a population of 3,198 and an eviction-risk score of 6.0/10 (Elevated tier). 41% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 14% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $840/month against a median household income of $42,347 — roughly 24% rent-to-income at the medians.
Risk score
6.0
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,339
Renter share47.4%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate21.9%
Median income$42,347
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middletown and the region
Centroid at 39.5311, -84.3882 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown scores 6.0
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Middletown
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
21.9% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$840 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
7.1
How Downtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 64%Household composition
- 19%Racial/ethnic minority
- 46%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,617Total filings over 13 yrs
- 17.06%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.5%Peak (2006)
- 103Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 36% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.0%Housing insecurity
- 12.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.9%Food insecurity
- 21.1%SNAP enrollment
- 11.8%Transit barriers
- 11.4%No health insurance
- 22.4%Frequent mental distress
- 35.3%Any disability
Frequently asked
About tract 39017012200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39017012200?
Census tract 39017012200 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 6.0/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39017012200?
Median gross rent is $840/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39017012200?
21.9% of residents in tract 39017012200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,198.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39017012200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 64th, minority 19th, housing 46th.
Q5
Is tract 39017012200 considered part of Downtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39017012200 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39017012200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,617 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39017012200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.06% of renter households, peaking at 23.5% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39017012200 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.9% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39017012200 compare to Middletown overall?
Tract 39017012200 scores 6.0/10 — higher than the parent city of Middletown at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Middletown
Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Downtown
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
South Main Street Historic District
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017014000
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Rosedale / The Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017013400
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017013600
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017014100
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Downtown
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
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