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Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally

Pikewood Manor Eviction Risk: Lower , Elyria

Tract 39093070200 · Lorain County, OH · pop 1,928 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 39093070200 covers the Pikewood Manor neighborhood of Elyria in Ohio. Home to 1,928 residents, it scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 23% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $904 a month against an average household income of $64,276 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 31% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 24% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units883
Renter share30.6%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate9.4%
Median income$64,276

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Pikewood Manor
Very Low
Within parent city
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#11 of 18 tracts In Elyria
Moderate
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 79 tracts In Lorain County
Elevated
Within state
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#1,450 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Elyria and the region

Centroid at 41.4122, -82.1273 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pikewood Manor scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elyria
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
9.4% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$904 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elyria
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elyria
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elyria
6.4

How Pikewood Manor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pikewood Manor risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.73.7This tracttract 070200Elyria: 2.72.7Elyriaparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 78Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 2.08%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.3%Peak (2018)
  • 19Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390930702002002: 2 filings (0.61/100 renter HHs)2003: 9 filings (2.74/100 renter HHs)2004: 8 filings (2.43/100 renter HHs)2005: 5 filings (1.47/100 renter HHs)2006: 4 filings (1.18/100 renter HHs)2012: 5 filings (1.18/100 renter HHs)2013: 2 filings (0.47/100 renter HHs)2014: 8 filings (1.89/100 renter HHs)2015: 7 filings (1.65/100 renter HHs)2016: 9 filings (2.99/100 renter HHs)2018: 19 filings (6.31/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 850% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pikewood Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pikewood Manor

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Elyria eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Lorain County average of 5.3 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 78 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 2.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.3% of renter households in 2018.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39093070200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093070200?

Census tract 39093070200 in the Pikewood Manor neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39093070200?

Median gross rent is $904/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39093070200?

9.4% of residents in tract 39093070200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,928.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39093070200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 20th, minority 32th, housing 58th.
Q5

Is tract 39093070200 considered part of Pikewood Manor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093070200 fall within Pikewood Manor (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093070200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 78 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39093070200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.08% of renter households, peaking at 6.3% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39093070200 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39093070200 compare to Elyria overall?

Tract 39093070200 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Elyria at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elyria eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elyria

Top eight tracts in Elyria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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