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Neighborhood · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally

Pikewood Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Elyria

Tract 39093070300 · Lorain County, OH · pop 3,503 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Here is how census tract 39093070300, in Pikewood Manor in Elyria eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.6/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 3,503. It lands near the 60th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $794 a month while the average household earns $48,267 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 34% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 17% Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,630
Renter share34.0%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$48,267

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Pikewood Manor
Moderate
Within parent city
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 18 tracts In Elyria
Moderate
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 79 tracts In Lorain County
Elevated
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#1,265 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Elyria and the region

Centroid at 41.3978, -82.1294 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pikewood Manor scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elyria
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$794 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elyria
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elyria
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elyria
6.4

How Pikewood Manor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pikewood Manor risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.04.0This tracttract 070300Elyria: 2.72.7Elyriaparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 751Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 9.67%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.8%Peak (2002)
  • 54Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390930703002002: 94 filings (12.82/100 renter HHs)2003: 72 filings (9.82/100 renter HHs)2004: 70 filings (9.55/100 renter HHs)2005: 75 filings (11.54/100 renter HHs)2006: 80 filings (12.31/100 renter HHs)2012: 40 filings (5.45/100 renter HHs)2013: 62 filings (8.45/100 renter HHs)2014: 45 filings (6.13/100 renter HHs)2015: 85 filings (11.58/100 renter HHs)2016: 74 filings (10.82/100 renter HHs)2018: 54 filings (7.89/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 43% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pikewood Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pikewood Manor

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Elyria eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lorain County average of 5.3 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 751 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 9.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 12.8% of renter households in 2002.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39093070300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093070300?

Census tract 39093070300 in the Pikewood Manor neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39093070300?

Median gross rent is $794/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39093070300?

10.7% of residents in tract 39093070300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,503.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39093070300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 39th, minority 44th, housing 81th.
Q5

Is tract 39093070300 considered part of Pikewood Manor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093070300 fall within Pikewood Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093070300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 751 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39093070300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.67% of renter households, peaking at 12.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39093070300 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39093070300 compare to Elyria overall?

Tract 39093070300 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Elyria at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elyria eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elyria

Top eight tracts in Elyria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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