Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Pikewood Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Elyria
Tract 39093070300 · Lorain County, OH · pop 3,503 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 4.6/10, tract 39093070300 in the Pikewood Manor area of Elyria, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,503 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.6/10.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,630
Renter share34.0%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$48,267
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
64
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elyria and the region
Centroid at 41.3978, -82.1294 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pikewood Manor scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Elyria
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$794 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elyria
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elyria
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elyria
6.4
How Pikewood Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 59
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 751Total filings over 11 yrs
- 9.67%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.8%Peak (2002)
- 54Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 43% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Pikewood Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.7%Housing insecurity
- 9.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.5%Food insecurity
- 13.7%SNAP enrollment
- 8.7%Transit barriers
- 9.4%No health insurance
- 18.6%Frequent mental distress
- 34.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pikewood Manor
Cost burden runs 51% here against 40.1% across Lorain County. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10. Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.4/10. The filing record is not thin: 751 evictions over 11 years of observation. Average gross rent is $794, 12% below the Elyria average.
The worst year on record was 2002, when 12.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 9.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.4/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Lorain County average of 4.1 closely.
Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $48,267.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39093070300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093070300?
Census tract 39093070300 in the Pikewood Manor neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39093070300?
Median gross rent is $794/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39093070300?
10.7% of residents in tract 39093070300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,503.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39093070300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 39th, minority 44th, housing 81th.
Q5
Is tract 39093070300 considered part of Pikewood Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093070300 fall within Pikewood Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093070300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 751 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39093070300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.67% of renter households, peaking at 12.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39093070300 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39093070300 compare to Elyria overall?
Tract 39093070300 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Elyria at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elyria eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elyria
Top eight tracts in Elyria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Pikewood Manor
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Washington Avenue Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Eastern Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Downtown Elyria
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Colonial Oaks
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Downtown Elyria
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Washington Village
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Colonial Oaks
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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