Neighborhood · Toledo, OH

Bush Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 3,399 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10 · range 5.7–5.9

Bush Street Historic District is a black-white neighborhood in Toledo with 2 census tracts and a population of 3,399 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 53% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 35% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $569/month sits 37% lower than the Toledo citywide average ($901).

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

2 tracts · population-weighted

Bush Street Historic District vs Toledo How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

52.7% +86%

Toledo: 28.4%

Average gross rent

$569 -37%

Toledo: $901

Average HH income

$20,249 -57%

Toledo: $47,532

Poverty rate

56.2% +129%

Toledo: 24.5%

Renter share

62.7% +34%

Toledo: 46.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bush Street Historic District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.7–5.9

Why Bush Street Historic District scores 5.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts

2.4

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts

5.8

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Rent control risk

53% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

63% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Economic stress

56.2% below poverty line · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts

10.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.8 across tracts

1.3

Risk score comparison

Bush Street Historic District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in Bush Street Historic District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
39095003000	5.9	2,005	55%	$464
39095001900	5.7	1,394	50%	$720

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 90

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 92%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 93%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 66%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Bush Street Historic District

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,688Total filings (sum)
11.58%Avg annual filing rate
16.5%Peak year (2013)
7.77%Latest filed (2018)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bush Street Historic District

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

33.5%Housing insecurity
29.5%Utility shutoff threat
47.8%Food insecurity
52.5%SNAP enrollment
18.8%No health insurance
48.0%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Bush Street Historic District

What is the eviction-risk score for Bush Street Historic District?

Bush Street Historic District scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Bush Street Historic District compare to Toledo overall?

Bush Street Historic District scores 2.5 points higher than Toledo overall (3.3/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $569 vs $901.

What is the average rent in Bush Street Historic District?

Average gross rent in Bush Street Historic District is $569/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Bush Street Historic District residents are renters?

63% of Bush Street Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in Toledo). The neighborhood has 3,399 residents.

Is Bush Street Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?

Bush Street Historic District sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Bush Street Historic District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Bush Street Historic District is census tract 39095003000 (score 5.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.7 to 5.9, a spread of 0.2 points.

How safe is Bush Street Historic District for landlords?

Bush Street Historic District carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Toledo as a whole (3.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Bush Street Historic District?

Bush Street Historic District has 3,085 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (49.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (32.6%), Other / Multiracial (10.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bush Street Historic District

5.4 Birckhead Place 3 tracts · pop 5,342 5.8 Northriver 2 tracts · pop 4,260 5.8 Northlawn 3 tracts · pop 6,953 5.2 East Toledo 5 tracts · pop 13,289 5.9 River East 2 tracts · pop 5,424 4.7 Old West End 2 tracts · pop 4,124

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Toledo

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bush Street Historic District.

5.8 Northlawn 3 tracts · pop 6,953 5.8 River East 2 tracts · pop 5,424 5.8 Northriver 2 tracts · pop 4,260 5.8 Vistula Historic District 1 tracts · pop 1,763 5.7 Roosevelt 2 tracts · pop 2,547 5.7 Birckhead Place 3 tracts · pop 5,342

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