Bush Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 10/10. Severe burden reaches 35%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

The poverty rate is 56%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $569, 37% below the Toledo average of $901. Set annual rent against average household income of $20,249 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1.3/10. Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.

Disability prevalence reaches 47.4% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. Court records carry 1,688 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. 18.4% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 16.5% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 7.6% in 2018, is well off that peak.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.