Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Southwyck Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo

Tract 39095007202 · Lucas County, OH · pop 3,464 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 39095007202 covers part of the Southwyck area of Toledo, OH, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

4.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 25% Owners 52%

Tract context

Occupied units1,618

Renter share47.5%

SVI overall0.51

Poverty rate17.6%

Median income$54,486

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 41.6017, -83.6481 · click any tract to drill in

Why Southwyck scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Toledo

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.8

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

17.6% poverty · this tract

4.4

Supply constraint

$784 rent vs county FMR

2.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Toledo

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Toledo

4.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Toledo

4.0

How Southwyck compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 51

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

28%Socioeconomic
74%Household composition
46%Racial/ethnic minority
63%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,305Total filings over 15 yrs
11.42%Avg annual filing rate
18.1%Peak (2004)
33Filings in 2018 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2003 to 2018

Filings dropped 35% over the past 15 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Southwyck. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.2%Housing insecurity
9.1%Utility-shutoff threat
15.0%Food insecurity
12.8%SNAP enrollment
8.2%Transit barriers
7.8%No health insurance
17.2%Frequent mental distress
32.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Southwyck

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

Cost burden runs 47% here against 41.3% across Lucas County. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,305 filings here across 15 tracked years.

Average gross rent is $784, 13% below the Toledo average. Filings peaked in 2004 at 18.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 11.4% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.6/10. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $54,486, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095007202

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095007202?

Census tract 39095007202 in the Southwyck neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39095007202?

Median gross rent is $784/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095007202?

17.6% of residents in tract 39095007202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,464.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095007202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 74th, minority 46th, housing 63th.

Is tract 39095007202 considered part of Southwyck?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095007202 fall within Southwyck (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39095007202?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,305 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39095007202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.42% of renter households, peaking at 18.1% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 39095007202 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39095007202 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 39095007202 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org