Southwyck Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10. 77% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Cost burden runs 49% here against 41.3% across Lucas County. It sits 1.2 points above the Lucas County average of 4.2.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Food insecurity runs 27.1% against 17.8% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

At $1,006 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of Toledo commands. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 6.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.