Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Southwyck Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo

Tract 39095007209 · Lucas County, OH · pop 2,076 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Here is how census tract 39095007209, in the Southwyck neighborhood of Toledo eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a $1/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 2,076. That is riskier than about 74% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 49% of renter households, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,006 monthly, set against $41,779 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 77% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.3

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 39% Owners 23%

Tract context

Occupied units1,155

Renter share77.1%

SVI overall0.63

Poverty rate25.5%

Median income$41,779

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 41.5995, -83.6691 · click any tract to drill in

Why Southwyck scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Toledo

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.8

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

25.5% poverty · this tract

6.4

Supply constraint

$1,006 rent vs county FMR

4.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Toledo

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Toledo

4.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Toledo

4.0

How Southwyck compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

85%Socioeconomic
37%Household composition
78%Racial/ethnic minority
27%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Southwyck. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

22.0%Housing insecurity
16.9%Utility-shutoff threat
27.1%Food insecurity
26.0%SNAP enrollment
14.0%Transit barriers
10.6%No health insurance
21.4%Frequent mental distress
34.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Southwyck

What moves this score most is economic stress at 6.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Toledo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lucas County average of 5.5 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 22.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 16.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 63rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095007209

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095007209?

Census tract 39095007209 in the Southwyck neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39095007209?

Median gross rent is $1,006/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095007209?

25.5% of residents in tract 39095007209 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,076.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095007209?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 37th, minority 78th, housing 27th.

Is tract 39095007209 considered part of Southwyck?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095007209 fall within Southwyck (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 39095007209 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39095007209 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 39095007209 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.