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Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally

Southwyck Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo

Tract 39095007208 · Lucas County, OH · pop 2,306 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 39095007208 sits in the Southwyck area of Toledo eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.1/10. Population here is 2,306. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 36% Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,377
Renter share71.5%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate12.9%
Median income$53,180

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 6 tracts In Southwyck
Moderate
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#91 of 121 tracts In Toledo
Low
Within county
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#93 of 168 tracts In Lucas County
Moderate
Within state
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#1,437 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 41.6016, -83.6598 · click any tract to drill in

Why Southwyck scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Toledo
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
12.9% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,009 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
4.0

How Southwyck compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Southwyck risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.1This tracttract 0072084.0Toledoparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Southwyck. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Southwyck

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. This is renter territory: 72% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Against Lucas County at 41.3%, 50% of renters here are cost-burdened. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.4/10.

Average gross rent is $1,009, 12% above the Toledo average. On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. It tracks the Lucas County average of 4.2 closely.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $53,180.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095007208

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095007208?

Census tract 39095007208 in the Southwyck neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39095007208?

Median gross rent is $1,009/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095007208?

12.9% of residents in tract 39095007208 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,306.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095007208?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 63th, minority 60th, housing 50th.
Q5

Is tract 39095007208 considered part of Southwyck?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095007208 fall within Southwyck (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 39095007208 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39095007208 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 39095007208 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Toledo at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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