Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

Southwyck Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo

Tract 39095007208 · Lucas County, OH · pop 2,306 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 5.7/10, tract 39095007208 in the Southwyck area of Toledo ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,306 residents. On the national scale it ranks #30,570 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,009 monthly, set against $53,180 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 72% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

4.3

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 36% Owners 28%

Tract context

Occupied units1,377

Renter share71.5%

SVI overall0.65

Poverty rate12.9%

Median income$53,180

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 41.6016, -83.6598 · click any tract to drill in

Why Southwyck scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Toledo

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.8

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

12.9% poverty · this tract

3.2

Supply constraint

$1,009 rent vs county FMR

4.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Toledo

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Toledo

4.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Toledo

4.0

How Southwyck compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

68%Socioeconomic
63%Household composition
60%Racial/ethnic minority
50%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Southwyck. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.5%Housing insecurity
9.0%Utility-shutoff threat
14.9%Food insecurity
12.2%SNAP enrollment
8.3%Transit barriers
7.6%No health insurance
17.2%Frequent mental distress
31.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Southwyck

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 4.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Toledo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lucas County average of 5.5 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095007208

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095007208?

Census tract 39095007208 in the Southwyck neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39095007208?

Median gross rent is $1,009/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095007208?

12.9% of residents in tract 39095007208 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,306.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095007208?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 63th, minority 60th, housing 50th.

Is tract 39095007208 considered part of Southwyck?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095007208 fall within Southwyck (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 39095007208 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39095007208 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 39095007208 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.