Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
South Dayton Eviction Risk: Moderate , Kettering
Tract 39113020500 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 1,491 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 39113020500 covers part of the South Dayton area of Kettering, OH, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,491. Against Montgomery County at 42.9%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units878
Renter share81.2%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate10.0%
Median income$41,164
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
77
th percentile
High
Within county
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
57
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Kettering and the region
Centroid at 39.6845, -84.1636 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Dayton scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Kettering
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
10.0% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$899 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kettering
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kettering
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kettering
4.9
How South Dayton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 36
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 41%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 12%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 1%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 112Total filings over 17 yrs
- 1.04%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.2%Peak (2006)
- 2Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 75% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Dayton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.5%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.1%Food insecurity
- 8.3%SNAP enrollment
- 6.1%Transit barriers
- 6.2%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 32.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Dayton
This is renter territory: 81% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 2.1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10.
The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10.
Court records carry 112 eviction filings across 17 observed years. Average gross rent is $899, 14% below the Kettering average.
Food insecurity runs 10.1% against 17.8% nationally. The worst year on record was 2006, when 2.2% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Dayton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.0% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113020500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113020500?
Census tract 39113020500 in the South Dayton neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113020500?
Median gross rent is $899/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113020500?
10.0% of residents in tract 39113020500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,491.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113020500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 86th, minority 31th, housing 12th.
Q5
Is tract 39113020500 considered part of South Dayton?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113020500 fall within South Dayton (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113020500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 112 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113020500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.04% of renter households, peaking at 2.2% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39113020500 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39113020500 compare to Kettering overall?
Tract 39113020500 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Kettering at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kettering eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39113020500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Kettering
Top eight tracts in Kettering ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
39113021800
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113020400
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113021501
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113021100
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113020100
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113021502
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113021301
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
39113021000
3.6
/ 10 · Low
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