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Johnson City, Oregon eviction risk overview
City brief · 499 residents

Johnson City, OR Eviction Risk: ELEVATED

Multnomah County · Population 499

In 2026
Risk score
6.9
ELEVATED

86th percentile, Oregon.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min2.6 Average4.3 Now6.9
7.5 2.6 1976 · score 3.0 1977 · score 2.9 1978 · score 2.8 1979 · score 2.9 1980 · score 3.0 1981 · score 3.0 1982 · score 3.0 1983 · score 2.9 1984 · score 2.8 1985 · score 2.7 1986 · score 2.7 1987 · score 2.6 1988 · score 3.2 1989 · score 3.3 1990 · score 3.3 1991 · score 3.4 1992 · score 3.7 1993 · score 3.7 1994 · score 3.7 1995 · score 3.7 1996 · score 3.7 1997 · score 3.7 1998 · score 3.8 1999 · score 3.8 2000 · score 3.8 2001 · score 3.8 2002 · score 3.8 2003 · score 3.8 2004 · score 3.9 2005 · score 3.9 2006 · score 3.9 2007 · score 3.9 2008 · score 4.6 2009 · score 4.9 2010 · score 5.0 2011 · score 5.0 2012 · score 5.0 2013 · score 4.9 2014 · score 5.2 2015 · score 5.2 2016 · score 5.3 2017 · score 5.3 2018 · score 5.4 2019 · score 6.3 2020 · score 7.5 2021 · score 7.3 2022 · score 7.2 2023 · score 6.9 2024 · score 7.0 2025 · score 6.9 2026 · score 6.9

Key metrics

Estimated values: The U.S. Census suppresses field-level data for small places. Estimated from county average, pop-weighted from real underlying ACS data.
Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 8.3 Regional 8.3 State 7.2 Economic 4.9 Supply 3.2 Rent Control 5.3 Eviction 6.6 Tenant 2.9 Housing 5.2 6.9 ELEVATED
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +62.1% (2024)
    8.3
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    8.3
  3. State political climate
    Oregon legislature & governorship
    7.2
  4. Economic stress
    11.4% poverty · 5.3% unemp.
    4.9
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,709 average · 2.7% renters
    3.2
  6. Rent Control risk
    32.1% of income on rent
    5.3
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    126 days filing → judgment
    6.6
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    2.7% renters
    2.9
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    5.2
Geographic context

Risk heat across Johnson City and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Johnson City compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Multnomah County
Elevated
#5 of 10 cities
Rank in county, 56th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 10 cities in Multnomah County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Oregon
High
#72 of 425 cities
Rank in state, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#72 of 425 cities in Oregon for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Johnson City risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Johnson City: 6.96.9Johnson CityThis cityCounty: 8.08.0Countyavg in countyState: 7.17.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 6.9
    / 10 · ELEVATED
    The verdict

    A Elevated-tier market.

    Composite 6.9/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+3.9 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 126d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,709/mo. A contested eviction takes 126 days and costs $7,517–$16,391 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 2.7%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 499 residents, 2.7% rent. 32% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 11.4% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 8.3
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Strong-tenant coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 8.3 and 8.3 (Dem margin +62.1% (2024)). State climate at 7.2, a tenant-leaning legislature.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 7.2
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 7.2/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 6.6, housing court bias 5.2, rent-control risk 5.3. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +1.6 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 4.9
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 4.9. Supply constraint: 3.2. The numbers behind those: 11.4% poverty, 5.3% unemployment, 32% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Johnson City sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Portland, OR · 149d · ~$11.8k all-in ($79/day) · score 8.1 Portland Salem, OR · 144d · ~$11.8k all-in ($82/day) · score 7.3 Salem Gresham, OR · 135d · ~$12.6k all-in ($94/day) · score 7.4 Gresham Hillsboro, OR · 133d · ~$11.2k all-in ($84/day) · score 6.9 Hillsboro Beaverton, OR · 144d · ~$12.8k all-in ($89/day) · score 7 Beaverton Tigard, OR · 145d · ~$12.8k all-in ($88/day) · score 6.9 Tigard Aloha, OR · 151d · ~$13.4k all-in ($89/day) · score 7.1 Aloha Eugene, OR · 127d · ~$13.3k all-in ($104/day) · score 7.9 Eugene Bend, OR · 129d · ~$13.2k all-in ($102/day) · score 6.5 Bend Medford, OR · 129d · ~$12.3k all-in ($95/day) · score 6.6 Medford Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Johnson City
Johnson City · 126d · ~$12.0k all-in ($95/day) · score 6.9 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Johnson City, OR

Landlording in Johnson City, Oregon, presents an elevated-friction market where documented notices and proactive screening matter. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.9/10 (ELEVATED tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Elevated-friction market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Johnson City is a city of 499 residents where 2.7% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 32.1% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,709/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Johnson City eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 6.6/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Johnson City closes 126 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Johnson City's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 5.2/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Johnson City runs $7,517 to $16,391 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 126 days of typical timeline and $1,709/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 2.9/10 in Johnson City, and the city has limited rent control exposure (5.3/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Oregon, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Johnson City: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a ELEVATED tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Oregon's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $16,391 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Johnson City

Trap · OREGON
Multnomah County court applies Oregon statute uniformly. Filing fee, notice period, and trial-to-writ timeline are set at the state level. At 5.8/10 local risk, default judgment frequency is typical.
04Eviction filings

Live filings tracking · Eviction Lab

Princeton Eviction Lab Tracking System, county-level. Last update 2026-05-01.

In the most recent month, 1,374 eviction cases were filed across the tracker's coverage area, 1.43× the historical baseline (above baseline). Past 12 months: 17,735 filings. Pandemic-era cumulative: 66,218.

  • 1,374Past month
  • 17,735Past 12 months
  • 1.43×vs baseline (past mo)
  • 29.2%Repeat-tenant filings
Notice requirement: at least ten days notice. Filing fee: minimum $88 filing fee.
Last 36 months of filings 2023-05-01 – 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings (Eviction Lab tracker)2023-05-01: 857 filings (0.79× hist)2023-06-01: 817 filings (0.81× hist)2023-07-01: 945 filings (0.75× hist)2023-08-01: 1,229 filings (0.93× hist)2023-09-01: 1,082 filings (0.83× hist)2023-10-01: 1,391 filings (0.91× hist)2023-11-01: 1,142 filings (0.98× hist)2023-12-01: 1,199 filings (0.89× hist)2024-01-01: 1,397 filings (1.05× hist)2024-02-01: 1,352 filings (1.17× hist)2024-03-01: 1,388 filings (1.09× hist)2024-04-01: 1,309 filings (1.37× hist)2024-05-01: 1,319 filings (1.21× hist)2024-06-01: 1,196 filings (1.19× hist)2024-07-01: 1,573 filings (1.25× hist)2024-08-01: 1,422 filings (1.07× hist)2024-09-01: 1,523 filings (1.17× hist)2024-10-01: 1,662 filings (1.09× hist)2024-11-01: 1,196 filings (1.02× hist)2024-12-01: 1,485 filings (1.11× hist)2025-01-01: 1,447 filings (1.09× hist)2025-02-01: 1,392 filings (1.24× hist)2025-03-01: 1,340 filings (1.05× hist)2025-04-01: 1,532 filings (1.60× hist)2025-05-01: 1,418 filings (1.30× hist)2025-06-01: 1,387 filings (1.38× hist)2025-07-01: 1,516 filings (1.20× hist)2025-08-01: 1,563 filings (1.18× hist)2025-09-01: 1,483 filings (1.14× hist)2025-10-01: 1,643 filings (1.08× hist)2025-11-01: 1,155 filings (0.99× hist)2025-12-01: 1,605 filings (1.20× hist)2026-01-01: 1,686 filings (1.27× hist)2026-02-01: 1,372 filings (1.22× hist)2026-03-01: 1,533 filings (1.20× hist)2026-04-01: 1,374 filings (1.43× hist)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What is the biggest risk for landlords in Johnson City?

The biggest risk is the combination of Oregon's statewide just-cause eviction requirements and the long, expensive eviction process. You can't just end a tenancy without a specific, legal reason, and if you do need to evict, it will likely take over four months and cost you five figures.

Q2

Can I charge whatever I want for a security deposit?

No. In Oregon, you can charge a maximum of two months' rent for a security deposit. You also have strict rules about when and how to return it, and what deductions are permissible. Always provide an itemized list of deductions within 31 days.

Q3

Is rent control an issue in Johnson City?

Oregon has statewide rent control, so yes, it is an issue. Annual rent increases are capped at 7% plus the consumer price index (CPI). This applies to Johnson City. You can't raise rents arbitrarily. Check our Oregon rent control rules for the latest caps.

Q4

What should I do if my tenant has a housing voucher?

Oregon has source-of-income protection statewide. This means you cannot refuse to rent to someone solely because they are using a housing voucher or other lawful source of income. You must apply the same screening criteria to all applicants, regardless of their income source.

Q5

When should I hire an attorney for an eviction?

Immediately after the 10-day pay-or-quit notice expires and the tenant hasn't complied. In Oregon, trying to handle an FED action yourself is a common and costly mistake. An attorney will ensure proper filing, service, and court representation, which is crucial given the complexity and potential for delays.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 6.9/10 places Johnson City in the 86th percentile of Oregon cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.