Neighborhood · Erie, PA

Central City Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 1,991 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.7/10 · range 6.7–6.7

Central City is a black-white neighborhood in Erie with 1 census tract and a population of 1,991 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.7/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 78% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 50% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,009/month sits 16% higher than the Erie citywide average ($870).

Risk score

6.7

Elevated

1 tracts · population-weighted

Central City vs Erie How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

77.7% +136%

Erie: 32.9%

Average gross rent

$1,009 +16%

Erie: $870

Average HH income

$28,426 -34%

Erie: $43,397

Poverty rate

27.5% +12%

Erie: 24.6%

Renter share

67.2% +47%

Erie: 45.9%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Central City and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.7–6.7

Why Central City scores 6.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts

3.4

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Rent control risk

78% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

67% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Economic stress

27.5% below poverty line · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts

6.9

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Risk score comparison

Central City vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Central City

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
42049001800	6.7	1,991	78%	$1,009

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 92

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 86%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 97%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 76%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 73%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Central City

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

550Total filings (sum)
18.88%Avg annual filing rate
18.8%Peak year (2001)
22.15%Latest filed (2006)

Frequently asked

About Central City

What is the eviction-risk score for Central City?

Central City scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Central City compare to Erie overall?

Central City scores 1.9 points higher than Erie overall (4.8/10). Renters spend 78% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,009 vs $870.

What is the average rent in Central City?

Average gross rent in Central City is $1,009/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 78% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Central City residents are renters?

67% of Central City households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Erie). The neighborhood has 1,991 residents.

Is Central City a high social-vulnerability area?

Central City sits in the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Central City for landlords?

Central City carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Erie as a whole (4.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Central City?

Central City has 1,985 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (52.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (30.3%), Hispanic / Latino (6.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Central City

6.9 Eastside Eagles 2 tracts · pop 4,585 6.2 Central Eastside 2 tracts · pop 6,841 6.8 Little Italy 2 tracts · pop 5,683 7 West Bayfront 2 tracts · pop 5,957 6.2 Bayfront 2 tracts · pop 5,443 5.4 East Bayfront 2 tracts · pop 3,306

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Erie

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Central City.

6.7 Baldwin Park 1 tracts · pop 2,909 6.8 Little Italy 2 tracts · pop 5,683 6.8 Downtown Erie 1 tracts · pop 1,365 6.9 Kingtown 1 tracts · pop 3,239 6.9 South Erie Hillside 1 tracts · pop 1,705 6.9 Eastside Eagles 2 tracts · pop 4,585

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