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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Chestnut Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lancaster

Tract 42071000600 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 3,145 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 42071000600 sits in the Chestnut Hill neighborhood of Lancaster eviction risk, Pennsylvania eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. That is riskier than about 71% of US census tracts.

About 41% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,090 a month against an average household income of $73,450 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 55% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 32% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,527
Renter share54.9%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate17.8%
Median income$73,450

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Chestnut Hill
Moderate
Within parent city
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 21 tracts In Lancaster
Moderate
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 116 tracts In Lancaster County
High
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#757 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lancaster and the region

Centroid at 40.0396, -76.3171 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chestnut Hill scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lancaster
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
17.8% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,090 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lancaster
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lancaster
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lancaster
6.9

How Chestnut Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Chestnut Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 000600Lancaster: 4.14.1Lancasterparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 567Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 8.76%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.7%Peak (2006)
  • 108Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420710006002000: 67 filings (7.55/100 renter HHs)2001: 75 filings (8.45/100 renter HHs)2002: 80 filings (9.02/100 renter HHs)2003: 90 filings (10.14/100 renter HHs)2004: 69 filings (7.78/100 renter HHs)2005: 78 filings (7.71/100 renter HHs)2006: 108 filings (10.67/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 61% over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chestnut Hill

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lancaster County average of 5.3 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42071000600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071000600?

Census tract 42071000600 in the Chestnut Hill neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42071000600?

Median gross rent is $1,090/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42071000600?

17.8% of residents in tract 42071000600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,145.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42071000600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 20th, minority 54th, housing 79th.
Q5

Is tract 42071000600 considered part of Chestnut Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42071000600 fall within Chestnut Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42071000600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 567 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42071000600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.76% of renter households, peaking at 10.7% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42071000600 compare to Lancaster overall?

Tract 42071000600 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Lancaster at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42071000600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lancaster

Top eight tracts in Lancaster ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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