Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Penn Rose Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lancaster

Tract 42071011806 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 3,707 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

How risky is the Penn Rose Park neighborhood of Lancaster for landlords? Census tract 42071011806 scores 5.7/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #30,737 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 34% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,127 a month against an average household income of $96,250 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 22% of occupied homes.

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 14% Owners 78%

Tract context

Occupied units1,198

Renter share22.0%

SVI overall0.55

Poverty rate6.8%

Median income$96,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lancaster and the region

Centroid at 40.0818, -76.3242 · click any tract to drill in

Why Penn Rose Park scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lancaster

4.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.2

State political climate

Pennsylvania legislature & governorship

3.4

Economic stress

6.8% poverty · this tract

1.7

Supply constraint

$2,127 rent vs county FMR

10.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lancaster

5.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lancaster

9.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lancaster

6.9

How Penn Rose Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

42%Socioeconomic
97%Household composition
60%Racial/ethnic minority
20%Housing & transportation

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Penn Rose Park

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lancaster County average of 5.3 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42071011806

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071011806?

Census tract 42071011806 in the Penn Rose Park neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 42071011806?

Median gross rent is $2,127/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 42071011806?

6.8% of residents in tract 42071011806 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,707.

How socially vulnerable is tract 42071011806?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 97th, minority 60th, housing 20th.

Is tract 42071011806 considered part of Penn Rose Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42071011806 fall within Penn Rose Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 42071011806 compare to Lancaster overall?

Tract 42071011806 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Lancaster at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lancaster

Top eight tracts in Lancaster ranked by composite eviction-risk score.