Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally
Stadium District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lancaster
Tract 42071011805 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 3,017 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
42071011805 is a census tract in the Stadium District area of Lancaster, PA. It scores 6.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,017. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,312
Renter share58.3%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate19.2%
Median income$74,615
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
55
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lancaster and the region
Centroid at 40.0603, -76.3238 · click any tract to drill in
Why Stadium District scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lancaster
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
19.2% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,713 rent vs county FMR
7.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lancaster
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lancaster
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lancaster
6.9
How Stadium District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 58
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 49%Socioeconomic
- 37%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 5%Grade A
- 4%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 222Total filings over 7 yrs
- 10.89%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.9%Peak (2000)
- 34Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Stadium District
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10. Average gross rent is $1,713, 38% above the Lancaster average.
It sits 2.3 points above the Lancaster County average of 4.2. 49% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Lancaster County average of 41.1%. The voucher gap is 23.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.6/10. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
On the high side, supply constraint reads 7.3/10. Court records carry 222 eviction filings across 7 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2000 at 12.9% of renter households. This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Lancaster. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42071011805
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071011805?
Census tract 42071011805 in the Stadium District neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42071011805?
Median gross rent is $1,713/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42071011805?
19.2% of residents in tract 42071011805 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,017.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42071011805?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 37th, minority 48th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 42071011805 considered part of Stadium District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42071011805 fall within Stadium District (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42071011805?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 222 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42071011805 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.89% of renter households, peaking at 12.9% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42071011805 compare to Lancaster overall?
Tract 42071011805 scores 6.5/10, higher than the parent city of Lancaster at 5.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42071011805 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lancaster
Top eight tracts in Lancaster ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Mussertown
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Cabbage Hill
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
West End
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Prospect Heights
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Southside
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Central Business District
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Conestoga Heights
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Ross
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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