Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Providence

Against the Providence County average of 5.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 7.5/10.

Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The filing record is not thin: 101 evictions over 2 years of observation.

The severe-burden share is 8%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7/10. The worst year on record was 2016, when 5.7% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Providence. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 4.7% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the RI average is 5.3, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.