Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Acoma Court Eviction Risk: Lower , Surprise
Tract 04013061027 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,300 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 04013061027 covers part of the Acoma Court area of Surprise, AZ, and scores 3.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,300. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 31% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units2,079
Renter share28.5%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate10.8%
Median income$86,645
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
44
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Surprise and the region
Centroid at 33.6315, -112.4017 · click any tract to drill in
Why Acoma Court scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Surprise
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
10.8% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$2,183 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Surprise
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Surprise
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Surprise
2.0
How Acoma Court compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 58%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 88Total filings over 5 yrs
- 32.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.8%Peak (2005)
- 32Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 1,500% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Acoma Court. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.9%Housing insecurity
- 7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.2%Food insecurity
- 11.1%SNAP enrollment
- 8.5%Transit barriers
- 11.2%No health insurance
- 16.8%Frequent mental distress
- 30.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Acoma Court
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10.
13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Court records carry 88 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Filings peaked in 2005 at 3.8% of renter households.
In a typical year about 32.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 25th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely. Average gross rent is $2,183, close to the Surprise average. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $86,645.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013061027
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061027?
Census tract 04013061027 in the Acoma Court neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013061027?
Median gross rent is $2,183/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061027?
10.8% of residents in tract 04013061027 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,300.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061027?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 63th, minority 41th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 04013061027 considered part of Acoma Court?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061027 fall within Acoma Court (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013061027?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 88 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013061027 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 32.74% of renter households, peaking at 3.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013061027 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013061027 compare to Surprise overall?
Tract 04013061027 scores 3.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Surprise at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Surprise eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Surprise
Top eight tracts in Surprise ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Surprise Original Townsite
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Shawnee Village
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Veramonte
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Arapaho Village
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Surprise Original Townsite
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Arizona Traditions
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Bell West Ranch
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Sierra
3.3
/ 10 · Low
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