Neighborhood · Ranked #66,099 of 84,120 nationally

Sierra Montana Eviction Risk: Moderate , Surprise

Tract 04013061059 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,280 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 04013061059 sits in the Sierra Montana neighborhood of Surprise, Arizona. It has a population of 5,280 and an eviction-risk score of 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). 30% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 12% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $2,289/month against a median household income of $135,635 — roughly 20% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

4.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 13% Owners 81%

Tract context

Occupied units1,469

Renter share18.6%

SVI overall0.14

Poverty rate8.5%

Median income$135,635

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Surprise and the region

Centroid at 33.6194, -112.4460 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sierra Montana scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Surprise

2.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

8.5% poverty · this tract

2.1

Supply constraint

$2,289 rent vs county FMR

6.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Surprise

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Surprise

1.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Surprise

2.0

How Sierra Montana compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 14

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

17%Socioeconomic
17%Household composition
44%Racial/ethnic minority
19%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Sierra Montana. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.9%Housing insecurity
5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
12.4%Food insecurity
8.6%SNAP enrollment
7.1%Transit barriers
9.5%No health insurance
15.3%Frequent mental distress
26.7%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 04013061059

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061059?

Census tract 04013061059 in the Sierra Montana neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013061059?

Median gross rent is $2,289/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061059?

8.5% of residents in tract 04013061059 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,280.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061059?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 17th, minority 44th, housing 19th.

Is tract 04013061059 considered part of Sierra Montana?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061059 fall within Sierra Montana (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04013061059 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013061059 compare to Surprise overall?

Tract 04013061059 scores 4.4/10 — higher than the parent city of Surprise at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Surprise eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Surprise

Top eight tracts in Surprise ranked by composite eviction-risk score.