Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally
Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe Eviction Risk: Lower , Avondale
Tract 04013082022 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,714 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
The Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe neighborhood of Avondale anchors census tract 04013082022, which lands at 6.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #15,448 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 69% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,748 monthly, set against $62,326 in average yearly household income, roughly 34% of income at the averages. Renters make up 59% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,811
Renter share58.9%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate14.0%
Median income$62,326
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
84
th percentile
High
Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
57
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Avondale and the region
Centroid at 33.4665, -112.3169 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Avondale
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
14.0% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,748 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avondale
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avondale
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avondale
6.4
How Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 269Total filings over 5 yrs
- 188.51%Avg annual filing rate
- 375.3%Peak (2004)
- 70Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 150% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.9%Housing insecurity
- 12.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.0%Food insecurity
- 21.1%SNAP enrollment
- 14.1%Transit barriers
- 18.9%No health insurance
- 18.4%Frequent mental distress
- 33.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Avondale eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 19.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 269 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 188.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 375.3% of renter households in 2004.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013082022
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013082022?
Census tract 04013082022 in the Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013082022?
Median gross rent is $1,748/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013082022?
14.0% of residents in tract 04013082022 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,714.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013082022?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 79th, minority 81th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 04013082022 considered part of Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013082022 fall within Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013082022?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 269 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013082022 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 188.51% of renter households, peaking at 375.3% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013082022 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013082022 compare to Avondale overall?
Tract 04013082022 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Avondale at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Avondale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Avondale
Top eight tracts in Avondale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Litchfield Junction
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013082209
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Coldwater Springs
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Litchfield Junction
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013082024
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Alamar
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013082210
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Sage Creek
3
/ 10 · Low
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