Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Desert Ridge Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix
Tract 04013103219 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,461 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
04013103219 is a census tract in the Desert Ridge area of Phoenix, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,461. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units2,065
Renter share36.5%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$104,868
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
22
th percentile
Low
Within county
35
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.6316, -111.9342 · click any tract to drill in
Why Desert Ridge scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$2,135 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How Desert Ridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 17%Household composition
- 30%Racial/ethnic minority
- 42%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 115Total filings over 5 yrs
- 4.01%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.4%Peak (2001)
- 20Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Desert Ridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.2%Housing insecurity
- 3.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.3%Food insecurity
- 4.0%SNAP enrollment
- 4.1%Transit barriers
- 5.2%No health insurance
- 11.6%Frequent mental distress
- 23.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Desert Ridge
Average gross rent is $2,135, 35% above the Phoenix average. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.4/10. 54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Housing insecurity runs 5.2% against 14.2% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 115 filings here across 5 tracked years. It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2001 at 5.4% of renter households.
In a typical year about 4.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013103219
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013103219?
Census tract 04013103219 in the Desert Ridge neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013103219?
Median gross rent is $2,135/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013103219?
5.6% of residents in tract 04013103219 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,461.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013103219?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 17th, minority 30th, housing 42th.
Q5
Is tract 04013103219 considered part of Desert Ridge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013103219 fall within Desert Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013103219?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 115 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013103219 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.01% of renter households, peaking at 5.4% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013103219 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013103219 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013103219 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Paradise City
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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Parkwood
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Rancho Hermoso
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
South Phoenix
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Melrose District
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Paradise City
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Lake Biltmore Village
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Lookout Mountain
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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