Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Desert Ridge Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix

Tract 04013615202 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,154 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 04013615202 in the Desert Ridge area of Phoenix, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,154 residents. Average gross rent is $2,379, 50% above the Phoenix average.

Risk score

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 16% Owners 69%

Tract context

Occupied units1,963

Renter share31.6%

SVI overall0.25

Poverty rate7.0%

Median income$110,660

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.6851, -111.9643 · click any tract to drill in

Why Desert Ridge scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Phoenix

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

7.0% poverty · this tract

1.8

Supply constraint

$2,379 rent vs county FMR

7.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Phoenix

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Phoenix

4.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Phoenix

3.0

How Desert Ridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

49%Socioeconomic
10%Household composition
27%Racial/ethnic minority
25%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Desert Ridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

5.2%Housing insecurity
3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
6.5%Food insecurity
4.3%SNAP enrollment
4.2%Transit barriers
5.2%No health insurance
11.5%Frequent mental distress
23.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Desert Ridge

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.8/10.

16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The voucher gap is 22.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

SNAP participation runs 4.3% against 15.2% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 5.2% against 14.2% nationally.

Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.3/10.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 48% of renters.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013615202

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013615202?

Census tract 04013615202 in the Desert Ridge neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013615202?

Median gross rent is $2,379/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013615202?

7.0% of residents in tract 04013615202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,154.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013615202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 10th, minority 27th, housing 25th.

Is tract 04013615202 considered part of Desert Ridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013615202 fall within Desert Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04013615202 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013615202 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013615202 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.