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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Desert Ridge Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix

Tract 04013615002 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,870 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

04013615002 is a census tract in the Desert Ridge area of Phoenix, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,870. Average gross rent is $2,342, 48% above the Phoenix average.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 27% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,855
Renter share40.4%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$143,170

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Desert Ridge
Elevated
Within parent city
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#324 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Very Low
Within county
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#905 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.6733, -111.9977 · click any tract to drill in

Why Desert Ridge scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,342 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Desert Ridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Desert Ridge risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 615002Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Desert Ridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Desert Ridge

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. 34% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Food insecurity runs 5.9% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 3.5% against 15.2% nationally.

The voucher gap is 20.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7.

On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013615002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013615002?

Census tract 04013615002 in the Desert Ridge neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013615002?

Median gross rent is $2,342/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013615002?

2.4% of residents in tract 04013615002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,870.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013615002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 39th, minority 40th, housing 40th.
Q5

Is tract 04013615002 considered part of Desert Ridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013615002 fall within Desert Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013615002 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013615002 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013615002 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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