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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Desert Ridge Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix

Tract 04013615100 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,586 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Tract 04013615100 sits in the Desert Ridge area of Phoenix eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. At $2,871 a month, rents run 81% over what the rest of Phoenix commands.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 8% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,733
Renter share11.9%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$163,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Desert Ridge
Low
Within parent city
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#317 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Very Low
Within county
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#906 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.6906, -111.9785 · click any tract to drill in

Why Desert Ridge scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,871 rent vs county FMR
9.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Desert Ridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Desert Ridge risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 615100Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 25Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 4.66%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.8%Peak (2001)
  • 4Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040136151002001: 11 filings (11.75/100 renter HHs)2002: 3 filings (3.20/100 renter HHs)2003: 1 filings (1.07/100 renter HHs)2004: 6 filings (6.41/100 renter HHs)2005: 4 filings (0.87/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 64% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Desert Ridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Desert Ridge

The voucher gap is 47.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 9.7/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. 36% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

SNAP participation runs 4.0% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 25 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Housing insecurity runs 5.8% against 14.2% nationally.

Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. The worst year on record was 2001, when 11.8% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 4.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013615100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013615100?

Census tract 04013615100 in the Desert Ridge neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013615100?

Median gross rent is $2,871/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013615100?

1.4% of residents in tract 04013615100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,586.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013615100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 9th, minority 46th, housing 0th.
Q5

Is tract 04013615100 considered part of Desert Ridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013615100 fall within Desert Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013615100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 25 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013615100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.66% of renter households, peaking at 11.8% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013615100 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013615100 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013615100 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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