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Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally

Greenbriar Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013104204 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,152 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

04013104204 is a census tract in the Greenbriar area of Phoenix, AZ. It scores 4.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,152 residents. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 32% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 8% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,047
Renter share12.2%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate17.5%
Median income$94,075

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Greenbriar
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#192 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Moderate
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#330 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#599 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.5913, -112.1567 · click any tract to drill in

Why Greenbriar scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
17.5% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$2,072 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Greenbriar compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Greenbriar risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 104204Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 57

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 82Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 13.08%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.0%Peak (2005)
  • 25Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131042042001: 12 filings (10.62/100 renter HHs)2002: 17 filings (15.04/100 renter HHs)2003: 15 filings (13.27/100 renter HHs)2004: 13 filings (11.50/100 renter HHs)2005: 25 filings (14.97/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 108% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Greenbriar. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Greenbriar

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Average gross rent is $2,072, 31% above the Phoenix average.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 82 evictions over 5 years of observation.

Severe burden reaches 9%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Filings peaked in 2005 at 15.0% of renter households.

In a typical year about 13.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 6.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $94,075.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013104204

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013104204?

Census tract 04013104204 in the Greenbriar neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013104204?

Median gross rent is $2,072/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013104204?

17.5% of residents in tract 04013104204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,152.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013104204?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 56th, minority 52th, housing 30th.
Q5

Is tract 04013104204 considered part of Greenbriar?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013104204 fall within Greenbriar (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013104204?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 82 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013104204 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.08% of renter households, peaking at 15.0% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013104204 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013104204 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013104204 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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