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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally

Verde Real Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix

Tract 04013104225 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,629 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

For landlords sizing up Verde Real in Phoenix, census tract 04013104225 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. That is riskier than roughly 30% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

33% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,750 a month while the average household earns $100,871 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 21% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 14% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,287
Renter share20.7%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$100,871

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Verde Real
Very Low
Within parent city
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#297 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Low
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#468 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Moderate
Within state
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#1,001 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.6315, -112.1617 · click any tract to drill in

Why Verde Real scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,750 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Verde Real compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Verde Real risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.23.2This tracttract 104225Phoenix: 2.82.8Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 258Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 18.78%Avg annual filing rate
  • 24.8%Peak (2003)
  • 39Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131042252001: 31 filings (10.84/100 renter HHs)2002: 50 filings (17.48/100 renter HHs)2003: 71 filings (24.83/100 renter HHs)2004: 67 filings (23.43/100 renter HHs)2005: 39 filings (17.33/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 26% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Verde Real. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Verde Real

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 258 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 18.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 24.8% of renter households in 2003.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013104225

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013104225?

Census tract 04013104225 in the Verde Real neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013104225?

Median gross rent is $1,750/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013104225?

6.0% of residents in tract 04013104225 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,629.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013104225?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 85th, minority 34th, housing 24th.
Q5

Is tract 04013104225 considered part of Verde Real?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013104225 fall within Verde Real (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013104225?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 258 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013104225 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.78% of renter households, peaking at 24.8% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013104225 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013104225 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013104225 scores 3.2/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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