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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Verde Real Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix

Tract 04013104225 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,629 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Tract 04013104225 sits in the Verde Real area of Phoenix eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 3,629 residents. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 14% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,287
Renter share20.7%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$100,871

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Verde Real
Very Low
Within parent city
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#339 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Very Low
Within county
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#664 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.6315, -112.1617 · click any tract to drill in

Why Verde Real scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,750 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Verde Real compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Verde Real risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 104225Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 258Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 18.78%Avg annual filing rate
  • 24.8%Peak (2003)
  • 39Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131042252001: 31 filings (10.84/100 renter HHs)2002: 50 filings (17.48/100 renter HHs)2003: 71 filings (24.83/100 renter HHs)2004: 67 filings (23.43/100 renter HHs)2005: 39 filings (17.33/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 26% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Verde Real. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Verde Real

Cost burden runs roughly one in three here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 258 evictions over 5 years of observation. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.

At $1,750 a month, rents run 11% over what the rest of Phoenix commands. The worst year on record was 2003, when 24.8% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 18.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $100,871.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013104225

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013104225?

Census tract 04013104225 in the Verde Real neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013104225?

Median gross rent is $1,750/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013104225?

6.0% of residents in tract 04013104225 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,629.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013104225?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 85th, minority 34th, housing 24th.
Q5

Is tract 04013104225 considered part of Verde Real?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013104225 fall within Verde Real (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013104225?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 258 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013104225 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.78% of renter households, peaking at 24.8% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013104225 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013104225 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013104225 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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