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Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally

Verde Real Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013104226 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,173 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 5.5/10, tract 04013104226 in the Verde Real area of Phoenix ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,173 residents. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

64% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 48% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,403 a month against an average household income of $62,879 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 17% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,705
Renter share45.9%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate19.3%
Median income$62,879

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Verde Real
Very High
Within parent city
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#112 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Elevated
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#141 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#382 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.6323, -112.1425 · click any tract to drill in

Why Verde Real scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
19.3% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,403 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Verde Real compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Verde Real risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.94.9This tracttract 104226Phoenix: 2.82.8Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 740Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 25.55%Avg annual filing rate
  • 34.7%Peak (2001)
  • 131Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131042262001: 198 filings (34.68/100 renter HHs)2002: 132 filings (23.12/100 renter HHs)2003: 132 filings (23.12/100 renter HHs)2004: 147 filings (25.74/100 renter HHs)2005: 131 filings (21.10/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 34% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Verde Real. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Verde Real

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 4.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013104226

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013104226?

Census tract 04013104226 in the Verde Real neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013104226?

Median gross rent is $1,403/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013104226?

19.3% of residents in tract 04013104226 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,173.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013104226?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 61th, minority 45th, housing 80th.
Q5

Is tract 04013104226 considered part of Verde Real?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013104226 fall within Verde Real (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013104226?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 740 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013104226 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 25.55% of renter households, peaking at 34.7% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013104226 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013104226 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013104226 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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