Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Verde Real Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix
Tract 04013104226 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,173 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 04013104226 sits in the Verde Real area of Phoenix eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5/10. Population here is 4,173. The severe-burden share is 48%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,705
Renter share45.9%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate19.3%
Median income$62,879
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.6323, -112.1425 · click any tract to drill in
Why Verde Real scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
19.3% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,403 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How Verde Real compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 64%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 45%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 740Total filings over 5 yrs
- 25.55%Avg annual filing rate
- 34.7%Peak (2001)
- 131Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 34% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Verde Real. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.8%Housing insecurity
- 8.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.5%Food insecurity
- 15.8%SNAP enrollment
- 10.5%Transit barriers
- 12.9%No health insurance
- 17.3%Frequent mental distress
- 33.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Verde Real
Cost burden runs 64% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Court records carry 740 eviction filings across 5 observed years. At $1,403 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Phoenix commands.
Filings peaked in 2001 at 34.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 25.6% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #32,842 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013104226
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013104226?
Census tract 04013104226 in the Verde Real neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013104226?
Median gross rent is $1,403/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013104226?
19.3% of residents in tract 04013104226 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,173.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013104226?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 61th, minority 45th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 04013104226 considered part of Verde Real?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013104226 fall within Verde Real (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013104226?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 740 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013104226 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 25.55% of renter households, peaking at 34.7% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013104226 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013104226 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013104226 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Melrose District
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013115200
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Central City
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Bronze Boot
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Citrus Hills
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
El Camino Dr.
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Westridge Park
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Lookout Mountain
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Related