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Neighborhood · Phoenix, AZ

Verde Real Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 11,609 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.9/10 · range 3–5

Verde Real is a 3-tract neighborhood of Phoenix, AZ and houses 11,609 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.9/10, in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs 46% against 31.0% citywide, putting Verde Real 15.1% over its own city.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 23%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 3 to 5. A 2-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

Filings are well documented here: 1,620 across 3 observed tracts. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10. The worst year on record was 2005, when filings touched 34.7% of renter households.

Well under the midpoint is housing-court posture, at 3/10. That places it #54 of 113 neighborhoods in Phoenix. Judgments average 9.8% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

For a like-for-like read, Centura West and Cimarron score within a fraction of it. Average gross rent runs $1,589, close to the Phoenix average.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $80,182.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Verde Real vs Phoenix How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.1% +49%
Phoenix: 31.0%
Average gross rent
$1,589 +0%
Phoenix: $1,582
Average HH income
$80,182 +4%
Phoenix: $77,041
Poverty rate
11.9% -17%
Phoenix: 14.3%
Renter share
37.7% -12%
Phoenix: 42.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Verde Real and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3–5

Why Verde Real scores 3.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
38% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
11.9% below poverty line · Range 1.5–4.8 across tracts
3.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–4.0 across tracts
3.2
Risk score comparison

Verde Real vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Verde Real score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Verde Real: 3.93.9Verde RealNeighborhoodParent city: 3.63.6Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Verde Real?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2 points from 3 to 5. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Verde Real

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013104226 5 4,173 64% $1,403
04013104218 3.7 3,807 39% $1,640
04013104225 3 3,629 33% $1,750
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 59

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 54%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 72%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 47%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 50%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Verde Real

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,620Total filings (sum)
  • 21.06%Avg annual filing rate
  • 34.7%Peak year (2005)
  • 20.51%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Verde Real

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Verde Real

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Verde Real?

Verde Real scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Verde Real compare to Phoenix overall?

Verde Real scores 0.3 points higher than Phoenix overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,589 vs $1,582.
Q3

What is the average rent in Verde Real?

Average gross rent in Verde Real is $1,589/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Verde Real residents are renters?

38% of Verde Real households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Phoenix). The neighborhood has 11,609 residents.
Q5

Is Verde Real a high social-vulnerability area?

Verde Real sits in the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Verde Real have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Verde Real is census tract 04013104226 (score 5/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 5, a spread of 2 points.
Q7

How safe is Verde Real for landlords?

Verde Real carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.9/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Phoenix as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Verde Real?

Verde Real has 12,242 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (68.5%), Hispanic / Latino (23.5%), Other / Multiracial (3.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Verde Real

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Phoenix

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Verde Real.

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