Neighborhood · Phoenix, AZ

Verde Real Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 11,609 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4/10 · range 3.2–4.9

Verde Real is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Phoenix with 3 census tracts and a population of 11,609 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 46% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 23% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,589/month sits 0% higher than the Phoenix citywide average ($1,582).

Risk score

Moderate

3 tracts · population-weighted

Verde Real vs Phoenix How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

46.1% +49%

Phoenix: 31.0%

Average gross rent

$1,589 +0%

Phoenix: $1,582

Average HH income

$80,182 +4%

Phoenix: $77,041

Poverty rate

11.9% -17%

Phoenix: 14.3%

Renter share

37.7% -12%

Phoenix: 42.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Verde Real and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.2–4.9

Why Verde Real scores 4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Rent control risk

46% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

38% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Economic stress

11.9% below poverty line · Range 1.5–4.8 across tracts

3.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–4.0 across tracts

3.2

Risk score comparison

Verde Real vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Verde Real?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.7 points from 3.2 to 4.9. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

4.9 3.8 3.2

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Verde Real

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04013104226	4.9	4,173	64%	$1,403
04013104218	3.8	3,807	39%	$1,640
04013104225	3.2	3,629	33%	$1,750

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 59

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 54%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 72%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 47%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 50%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Verde Real

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,620Total filings (sum)
21.06%Avg annual filing rate
34.7%Peak year (2005)
20.51%Latest filed (2005)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Verde Real

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

12.0%Housing insecurity
7.1%Utility shutoff threat
16.0%Food insecurity
11.9%SNAP enrollment
11.7%No health insurance
30.4%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Verde Real

What is the eviction-risk score for Verde Real?

Verde Real scores 4/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Verde Real compare to Phoenix overall?

Verde Real scores 1.2 points higher than Phoenix overall (2.8/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,589 vs $1,582.

What is the average rent in Verde Real?

Average gross rent in Verde Real is $1,589/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Verde Real residents are renters?

38% of Verde Real households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Phoenix). The neighborhood has 11,609 residents.

Is Verde Real a high social-vulnerability area?

Verde Real sits in the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Verde Real have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Verde Real is census tract 04013104226 (score 4.9/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.2 to 4.9, a spread of 1.7 points.

How safe is Verde Real for landlords?

Verde Real carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Phoenix as a whole (2.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Verde Real?

Verde Real has 12,242 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (68.5%), Hispanic / Latino (23.5%), Other / Multiracial (3.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Verde Real

3.6 Sunray Manor 2 tracts · pop 11,008 3.5 Bellair 2 tracts · pop 6,998 4.1 Cactus Gale V 2 tracts · pop 10,283 3.9 Steeplechase 2 tracts · pop 8,703 3.9 Amberwood North 3 tracts · pop 9,869 4.7 Thunderbird Valley Number Two 3 tracts · pop 20,040

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Phoenix

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Verde Real.

4 Liberty Village 5 tracts · pop 24,104 4 Greenbriar 5 tracts · pop 16,321 4 Centura West 2 tracts · pop 7,503 4 Amberwood North 3 tracts · pop 9,869 4 Adobe 3 tracts · pop 11,477 4 Silva Mountain 3 tracts · pop 14,357

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