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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

South Phoenix Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013115900 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,225 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 04013115900 sits in the South Phoenix area of Phoenix eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5/10. Population here is 6,225. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 16% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,016
Renter share35.4%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate16.9%
Median income$60,324

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 7 tracts In South Phoenix
Very Low
Within parent city
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#117 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Elevated
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#133 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#165 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.3996, -112.0560 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Phoenix scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
16.9% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,431 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How South Phoenix compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Phoenix risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 115900Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 159Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 8.23%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.5%Peak (2005)
  • 52Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131159002001: 24 filings (7.10/100 renter HHs)2002: 24 filings (7.10/100 renter HHs)2003: 19 filings (5.62/100 renter HHs)2004: 40 filings (11.83/100 renter HHs)2005: 52 filings (9.51/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 117% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Phoenix. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Phoenix

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 28.6% against 11.3% nationally. The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10.

SNAP participation runs 26.6% against 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 159 evictions over 5 years of observation. Average gross rent is $1,431, 10% below the Phoenix average.

The worst year on record was 2005, when 9.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 8.2% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 61st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013115900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013115900?

Census tract 04013115900 in the South Phoenix neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013115900?

Median gross rent is $1,431/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013115900?

16.9% of residents in tract 04013115900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,225.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013115900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 79th, minority 89th, housing 75th.
Q5

Is tract 04013115900 considered part of South Phoenix?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013115900 fall within South Phoenix (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013115900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 159 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013115900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.23% of renter households, peaking at 9.5% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013115900 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013115900 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013115900 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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