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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

South Phoenix Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013115801 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,247 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 04013115801 sits in South Phoenix in Phoenix eviction risk, Arizona eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.7/10. On the national scale it ranks #28,309 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 57% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,276 a month against an average household income of $39,474 a year, roughly 39% of income at the averages. Renters make up 81% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46% Stable renters 35% Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units1,334
Renter share81.0%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate27.6%
Median income$39,474

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 7 tracts In South Phoenix
High
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Very High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#36 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very High
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#126 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.3995, -112.0690 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Phoenix scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
27.6% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$1,276 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How South Phoenix compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Phoenix risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 115801Phoenix: 2.82.8Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 735Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 17.19%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.7%Peak (2004)
  • 115Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131158012001: 146 filings (16.57/100 renter HHs)2002: 148 filings (16.80/100 renter HHs)2003: 161 filings (18.27/100 renter HHs)2004: 165 filings (18.73/100 renter HHs)2005: 115 filings (15.56/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 21% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Phoenix. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Phoenix

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 6.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 735 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 17.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 18.7% of renter households in 2004.

In CDC survey modeling, about 30.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013115801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013115801?

Census tract 04013115801 in the South Phoenix neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013115801?

Median gross rent is $1,276/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013115801?

27.6% of residents in tract 04013115801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,247.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013115801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 89th, minority 93th, housing 100th.
Q5

Is tract 04013115801 considered part of South Phoenix?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013115801 fall within South Phoenix (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013115801?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 735 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013115801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.19% of renter households, peaking at 18.7% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013115801 struggle to pay rent?

About 30.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013115801 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013115801 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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