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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

South Phoenix Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013115400 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 1,688 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 04013115400 sits in the South Phoenix area of Phoenix eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5/10. It is home to 1,688 residents. Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 25% Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units570
Renter share50.2%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate35.4%
Median income$45,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 7 tracts In South Phoenix
Elevated
Within parent city
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#101 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Elevated
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#128 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#165 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.4136, -112.0712 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Phoenix scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
35.4% poverty · this tract
8.8
Supply constraint
$1,106 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How South Phoenix compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Phoenix risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 115400Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 146Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 8.81%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.6%Peak (2003)
  • 32Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131154002001: 27 filings (8.08/100 renter HHs)2002: 29 filings (8.68/100 renter HHs)2003: 32 filings (9.58/100 renter HHs)2004: 26 filings (7.78/100 renter HHs)2005: 32 filings (9.94/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 19% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Phoenix. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Phoenix

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. The poverty rate is 35%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Housing insecurity runs 32.4% against 14.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. At $1,106 a month, rents run 30% under what the rest of Phoenix commands.

It sits 1.3 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Court records carry 146 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Cost burden runs 50% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. Filings peaked in 2003 at 9.6% of renter households.

In a typical year about 8.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #32,842 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.5/10.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013115400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013115400?

Census tract 04013115400 in the South Phoenix neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013115400?

Median gross rent is $1,106/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013115400?

35.4% of residents in tract 04013115400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,688.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013115400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 92th, minority 92th, housing 75th.
Q5

Is tract 04013115400 considered part of South Phoenix?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013115400 fall within South Phoenix (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013115400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 146 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013115400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.81% of renter households, peaking at 9.6% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013115400 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013115400 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013115400 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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