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Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

South Phoenix Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013115400 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 1,688 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 5.9/10, tract 04013115400 in South Phoenix in Phoenix ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 1,688 residents. That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,106 a month while the average household earns $45,000 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 50% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 25% Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units570
Renter share50.2%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate35.4%
Median income$45,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 7 tracts In South Phoenix
Elevated
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#40 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#54 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#164 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.4136, -112.0712 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Phoenix scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
35.4% poverty · this tract
8.8
Supply constraint
$1,106 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How South Phoenix compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Phoenix risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.75.7This tracttract 115400Phoenix: 2.82.8Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 146Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 8.81%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.6%Peak (2003)
  • 32Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131154002001: 27 filings (8.08/100 renter HHs)2002: 29 filings (8.68/100 renter HHs)2003: 32 filings (9.58/100 renter HHs)2004: 26 filings (7.78/100 renter HHs)2005: 32 filings (9.94/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 19% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Phoenix. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Phoenix

What moves this score most is economic stress at 8.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 146 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 8.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.6% of renter households in 2003.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013115400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013115400?

Census tract 04013115400 in the South Phoenix neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013115400?

Median gross rent is $1,106/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013115400?

35.4% of residents in tract 04013115400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,688.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013115400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 92th, minority 92th, housing 75th.
Q5

Is tract 04013115400 considered part of South Phoenix?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013115400 fall within South Phoenix (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013115400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 146 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013115400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.81% of renter households, peaking at 9.6% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013115400 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013115400 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013115400 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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