Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Scottsdale Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 04013217101 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,350 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Census tract 04013217101 covers part of the Downtown Scottsdale area of Scottsdale, AZ, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,350. The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,221
Renter share31.5%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate5.0%
Median income$74,188
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
5
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
26
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region
Centroid at 33.5012, -111.9054 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown Scottsdale scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
5.0% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,450 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.0
How Downtown Scottsdale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 21%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 234Total filings over 5 yrs
- 9.89%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.8%Peak (2002)
- 37Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 27% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown Scottsdale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.3%Housing insecurity
- 4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.8%Food insecurity
- 5.8%SNAP enrollment
- 5.6%Transit barriers
- 7.6%No health insurance
- 13.9%Frequent mental distress
- 24.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown Scottsdale
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Cost burden runs 59% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.2/10. Average gross rent is $1,450, 28% below the Scottsdale average.
SNAP participation runs 5.8% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.8% against 17.8% nationally.
Court records carry 234 eviction filings across 5 observed years. It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. The worst year on record was 2002, when 10.8% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 9.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013217101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013217101?
Census tract 04013217101 in the Downtown Scottsdale neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013217101?
Median gross rent is $1,450/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013217101?
5.0% of residents in tract 04013217101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,350.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013217101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 23th, minority 41th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 04013217101 considered part of Downtown Scottsdale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013217101 fall within Downtown Scottsdale (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013217101?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 234 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013217101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.89% of renter households, peaking at 10.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013217101 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013217101 compare to Scottsdale overall?
Tract 04013217101 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Scottsdale at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale
Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Main Street Arts District
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Downtown Scottsdale
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Trails II
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Gainey Ranch
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013217700
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Shiloh Canyon
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Country Horizons
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Santo Tomas
3.3
/ 10 · Low
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