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Neighborhood · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Scottsdale Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 04013217101 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,350 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

How risky is the Downtown Scottsdale area of Scottsdale for landlords? Census tract 04013217101 scores 4.7/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 30% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 59% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,450 monthly, set against $74,188 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 13% Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,221
Renter share31.5%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate5.0%
Median income$74,188

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Downtown Scottsdale
Moderate
Within parent city
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#18 of 61 tracts In Scottsdale
Elevated
Within county
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#696 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#1,323 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region

Centroid at 33.5012, -111.9054 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Scottsdale scores 2.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
5.0% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,450 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.0

How Downtown Scottsdale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown Scottsdale risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.42.4This tracttract 217101Scottsdale: 2.32.3Scottsdaleparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 31

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 234Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 9.89%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.8%Peak (2002)
  • 37Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040132171012001: 51 filings (9.83/100 renter HHs)2002: 56 filings (10.79/100 renter HHs)2003: 45 filings (8.67/100 renter HHs)2004: 45 filings (8.67/100 renter HHs)2005: 37 filings (11.49/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 27% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Scottsdale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Scottsdale

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at 2.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013217101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013217101?

Census tract 04013217101 in the Downtown Scottsdale neighborhood scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013217101?

Median gross rent is $1,450/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013217101?

5.0% of residents in tract 04013217101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,350.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013217101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 23th, minority 41th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 04013217101 considered part of Downtown Scottsdale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013217101 fall within Downtown Scottsdale (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013217101?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 234 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013217101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.89% of renter households, peaking at 10.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013217101 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013217101 compare to Scottsdale overall?

Tract 04013217101 scores 2.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Scottsdale at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale

Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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