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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Homestead Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa

Tract 04013420705 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,612 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 04013420705 in the Homestead area of Mesa, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. 12% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 11% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units923
Renter share13.0%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate0.6%
Median income$165,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Homestead
Very Low
Within parent city
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#79 of 133 tracts In Mesa
Moderate
Within county
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#793 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.4446, -111.7535 · click any tract to drill in

Why Homestead scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
0.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,269 rent vs county FMR
6.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5

How Homestead compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Homestead risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 420705Mesa: 3.23.2Mesaparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 15

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 7Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 6.24%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.0%Peak (2001)
  • 2Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040134207052001: 3 filings (6.98/100 renter HHs)2002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 1 filings (2.33/100 renter HHs)2004: 1 filings (2.33/100 renter HHs)2005: 2 filings (13.33/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Homestead. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Homestead

At $2,269 a month, rents run 40% over what the rest of Mesa commands. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

SNAP participation runs 3.7% against 15.2% nationally. The voucher gap is 16.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 7 filings here across 4 tracked years.

Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The worst year on record was 2001, when 7.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.2% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.4/10.

Against average income of $165,750, annual rent is just 16%.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013420705

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013420705?

Census tract 04013420705 in the Homestead neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013420705?

Median gross rent is $2,269/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 12% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013420705?

0.6% of residents in tract 04013420705 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,612.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013420705?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 53th, minority 27th, housing 16th.
Q5

Is tract 04013420705 considered part of Homestead?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013420705 fall within Homestead (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013420705?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 7 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 04013420705 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.24% of renter households, peaking at 7.0% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013420705 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013420705 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013420705 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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