Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Homestead Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa
Tract 04013420303 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,540 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 04013420303 in the Homestead area of Mesa, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,447
Renter share13.0%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$126,156
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
10
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
22
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.4591, -111.7620 · click any tract to drill in
Why Homestead scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,653 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Homestead compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 75%Household composition
- 50%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 160Total filings over 5 yrs
- 26.25%Avg annual filing rate
- 50.8%Peak (2002)
- 16Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 64% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Homestead. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.4%Housing insecurity
- 5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.1%Food insecurity
- 8.3%SNAP enrollment
- 6.9%Transit barriers
- 9.7%No health insurance
- 14.7%Frequent mental distress
- 26.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Homestead
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.5/10. Court records carry 160 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Filings peaked in 2002 at 50.8% of renter households.
In a typical year about 26.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 4.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $126,156, annual rent is just 16%. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013420303
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013420303?
Census tract 04013420303 in the Homestead neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013420303?
Median gross rent is $1,653/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013420303?
6.1% of residents in tract 04013420303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,540.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013420303?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 75th, minority 50th, housing 50th.
Q5
Is tract 04013420303 considered part of Homestead?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013420303 fall within Homestead (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013420303?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 160 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013420303 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 26.25% of renter households, peaking at 50.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013420303 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013420303 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013420303 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04013421902
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422001
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013522802
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
McQueen
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422102
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013941300
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013421302
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Dobson Shores
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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