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Neighborhood · Mesa, AZ

Homestead Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 8,152 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Homestead takes in 2 census tracts of Mesa, AZ, population 8,152. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, Lower tier. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.3/10. around a third of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. At $1,926 a month, rents sit 19% over what the rest of Mesa commands.

The severe-burden share is 13%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Court records carry 167 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.

Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.5/10. SNAP participation is 6.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Filing activity peaked in 2002 at 50.8% of renter households. Food insecurity affects 9.2% of adults, 8.6 points below the national rate.

The most recent observed rate, 12.3% in 2005, is well off that peak. Among the 33 mapped neighborhoods of Mesa, it ranks #20 by risk, the middle third. At 13% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

For a like-for-like read, Eastmark and Rancho de Arboleda score within a fraction of it.

With little internal variation, 3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Homestead vs Mesa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
32.1% -1%
Mesa: 32.3%
Average gross rent
$1,926 +19%
Mesa: $1,620
Average HH income
$143,699 +82%
Mesa: $78,779
Poverty rate
3.7% -65%
Mesa: 10.5%
Renter share
13.0% -63%
Mesa: 35.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Homestead and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–3

Why Homestead scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Rent control risk
32% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
13% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
3.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.5 across tracts
1.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–6.6 across tracts
4.9
Risk score comparison

Homestead vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Homestead score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0HomesteadNeighborhood3.2Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Homestead

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
04013420303 3 4,540 48% $1,653
04013420705 3 3,612 12% $2,269
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 31

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 17%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 65%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 40%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 35%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Homestead

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 167Total filings (sum)
  • 17.39%Avg annual filing rate
  • 50.8%Peak year (2002)
  • 12.18%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Homestead

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Homestead

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Homestead?

Homestead scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Homestead compare to Mesa overall?

Homestead scores 0.2 points lower than Mesa overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 32% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,926 vs $1,620.
Q3

What is the average rent in Homestead?

Average gross rent in Homestead is $1,926/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Homestead residents are renters?

13% of Homestead households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Mesa). The neighborhood has 8,152 residents.
Q5

Is Homestead a high social-vulnerability area?

Homestead sits in the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Homestead have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Homestead is census tract 04013420303 (score 3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Homestead for landlords?

Homestead carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mesa as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Homestead?

Homestead has 8,101 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (73.2%), Hispanic / Latino (19.4%), Other / Multiracial (4.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Homestead

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mesa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Homestead.

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