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Neighborhood · Mesa, AZ

Homestead Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 8,152 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 3.9–4.9

Homestead is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Mesa with 2 census tracts and a population of 8,152 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 32% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 13% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $1,926/month sits 19% higher than the Mesa citywide median ($1,620).

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Homestead vs Mesa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
32.1% -1%
Mesa: 32.3%
Average gross rent
$1,926 +19%
Mesa: $1,620
Average HH income
$143,699 +82%
Mesa: $78,779
Poverty rate
3.7% -65%
Mesa: 10.5%
Renter share
13.0% -63%
Mesa: 35.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Homestead and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.9–4.9

Why Homestead scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Rent control risk
32% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
13% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
3.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.5 across tracts
1.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–6.6 across tracts
4.9
Risk score comparison

Homestead vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Homestead score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Homestead: 4.54.5HomesteadNeighborhoodParent city: 3.13.1Parent cityhost cityState: 4.04.0Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Homestead

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013420303 4.9 4,540 48% $1,653
04013420705 3.9 3,612 12% $2,269
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 31

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 17%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 65%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 40%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 35%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Homestead

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 167Total filings (sum)
  • 17.39%Avg annual filing rate
  • 50.8%Peak year (2002)
  • 12.18%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Homestead

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Homestead

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Homestead?

Homestead scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Homestead compare to Mesa overall?

Homestead scores 1.4 points higher than Mesa overall (3.1/10). Renters spend 32% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Median rent: $1,926 vs $1,620.

Q3

What is the average rent in Homestead?

Median gross rent in Homestead is $1,926/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Homestead residents are renters?

13% of Homestead households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Mesa). The neighborhood has 8,152 residents.

Q5

Is Homestead a high social-vulnerability area?

Homestead sits in the 31th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in Homestead have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Homestead is census tract 04013420303 (score 4.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.9 to 4.9 — a spread of 1.0 points.

Q7

How safe is Homestead for landlords?

Homestead carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mesa as a whole (3.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Homestead?

Homestead has 8,101 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (73.2%), Hispanic / Latino (19.4%), Other / Multiracial (4.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Homestead

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mesa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Homestead.

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