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Neighborhood · Mesa, AZ

Homestead Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 8,152 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Homestead takes in 2 census tracts of Mesa, AZ, population 8,152. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, Lower tier. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.3/10. around a third of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. At $1,926 a month, rents sit 19% over what the rest of Mesa commands.

The severe-burden share is 13%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Court records carry 167 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.

Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.5/10. SNAP participation is 6.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Filing activity peaked in 2002 at 50.8% of renter households. Food insecurity affects 9.2% of adults, 8.6 points below the national rate.

The most recent observed rate, 12.3% in 2005, is well off that peak. Among the 33 mapped neighborhoods of Mesa, it ranks #20 by risk, the middle third. At 13% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

For a like-for-like read, Eastmark and Rancho de Arboleda score within a fraction of it.

With little internal variation, 3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Homestead vs Mesa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
32.1% -1%
Mesa: 32.3%
Average gross rent
$1,926 +19%
Mesa: $1,620
Average HH income
$143,699 +82%
Mesa: $78,779
Poverty rate
3.7% -65%
Mesa: 10.5%
Renter share
13.0% -63%
Mesa: 35.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Homestead and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–3

Why Homestead scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Rent control risk
32% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
13% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
3.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.5 across tracts
1.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–6.6 across tracts
4.9
Risk score comparison

Homestead vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Homestead score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Homestead: 3.03.0HomesteadNeighborhoodParent city: 3.23.2Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Homestead

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013420303 3 4,540 48% $1,653
04013420705 3 3,612 12% $2,269
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 31

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 17%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 65%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 40%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 35%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Homestead

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 167Total filings (sum)
  • 17.39%Avg annual filing rate
  • 50.8%Peak year (2002)
  • 12.18%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Homestead

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Homestead

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Homestead?

Homestead scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Homestead compare to Mesa overall?

Homestead scores 0.2 points lower than Mesa overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 32% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,926 vs $1,620.
Q3

What is the average rent in Homestead?

Average gross rent in Homestead is $1,926/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Homestead residents are renters?

13% of Homestead households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Mesa). The neighborhood has 8,152 residents.
Q5

Is Homestead a high social-vulnerability area?

Homestead sits in the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Homestead have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Homestead is census tract 04013420303 (score 3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Homestead for landlords?

Homestead carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mesa as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Homestead?

Homestead has 8,101 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (73.2%), Hispanic / Latino (19.4%), Other / Multiracial (4.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Homestead

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mesa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Homestead.

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