Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Mesa Patios Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 04013420902 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,005 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 04013420902 covers part of the Mesa Patios area of Mesa, AZ, and scores 3.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,005 residents. Severe burden reaches 38%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,355
Renter share30.0%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate11.0%
Median income$79,085
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
55
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.4261, -111.8142 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mesa Patios scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
11.0% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,217 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Mesa Patios compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 70%Socioeconomic
- 93%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 163Total filings over 5 yrs
- 10.14%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.9%Peak (2001)
- 28Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 28% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Mesa Patios. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.7%Housing insecurity
- 6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.6%Food insecurity
- 9.9%SNAP enrollment
- 8.1%Transit barriers
- 12.5%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 27.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mesa Patios
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.2/10. Average gross rent is $1,217, 25% below the Mesa average. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 53% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 163 filings here across 5 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2001, when 11.9% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 10.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 7.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely. Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $79,085.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013420902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013420902?
Census tract 04013420902 in the Mesa Patios neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013420902?
Median gross rent is $1,217/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013420902?
11.0% of residents in tract 04013420902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,005.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013420902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 93th, minority 47th, housing 52th.
Q5
Is tract 04013420902 considered part of Mesa Patios?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013420902 fall within Mesa Patios (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013420902?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 163 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013420902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.14% of renter households, peaking at 11.9% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013420902 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013420902 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013420902 scores 3.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Culdesac Tempe
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Buckhorn
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Velda Rose Estates
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422106
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422107
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Related