Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Fuller Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa
Tract 04013421701 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,852 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 04013421701 covers part of the Fuller Ranch area of Mesa, AZ, and scores 3.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,852. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units2,356
Renter share69.9%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate7.0%
Median income$62,143
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
52
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.4190, -111.7796 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fuller Ranch scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
7.0% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,389 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Fuller Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 917Total filings over 5 yrs
- 22.06%Avg annual filing rate
- 25.3%Peak (2004)
- 196Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 43% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Fuller Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.5%Housing insecurity
- 9.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.2%Food insecurity
- 17.0%SNAP enrollment
- 12.0%Transit barriers
- 15.5%No health insurance
- 18.6%Frequent mental distress
- 32.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fuller Ranch
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. 56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.
This is renter territory: 70% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.7/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 917 filings here across 5 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,389, 14% below the Mesa average.
Filings peaked in 2004 at 25.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 22.1% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013421701
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013421701?
Census tract 04013421701 in the Fuller Ranch neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013421701?
Median gross rent is $1,389/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013421701?
7.0% of residents in tract 04013421701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,852.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013421701?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 36th, minority 69th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 04013421701 considered part of Fuller Ranch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013421701 fall within Fuller Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013421701?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 917 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013421701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.06% of renter households, peaking at 25.3% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013421701 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013421701 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013421701 scores 3.5/10, higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422106
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Arizona Cowboy
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422107
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Royal Palm Village
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Royal Palm Village
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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