Within neighborhood
75
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Fuller Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mesa
Tract 04013421602 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,445 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 04013421602 covers part of the Fuller Ranch area of Mesa, AZ, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,445 residents. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,487
Renter share63.9%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate14.9%
Median income$47,181
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.4117, -111.7968 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fuller Ranch scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
14.9% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,174 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Fuller Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 625Total filings over 5 yrs
- 17.77%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.3%Peak (2002)
- 138Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 37% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Fuller Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.0%Housing insecurity
- 13.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 33.5%Food insecurity
- 25.1%SNAP enrollment
- 16.3%Transit barriers
- 28.4%No health insurance
- 18.5%Frequent mental distress
- 38.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fuller Ranch
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
Food insecurity runs 33.5% against 17.8% nationally. At $1,174 a month, rents run 28% under what the rest of Mesa commands. Housing insecurity runs 24.0% against 14.2% nationally.
Court records carry 625 eviction filings across 5 observed years. It sits 0.9 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7. 41% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.
Filings peaked in 2002 at 19.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 17.8% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013421602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013421602?
Census tract 04013421602 in the Fuller Ranch neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013421602?
Median gross rent is $1,174/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013421602?
14.9% of residents in tract 04013421602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,445.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013421602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 91th, minority 79th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 04013421602 considered part of Fuller Ranch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013421602 fall within Fuller Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013421602?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 625 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013421602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.77% of renter households, peaking at 19.3% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013421602 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013421602 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013421602 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Arizona Cowboy
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422107
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Royal Palm Village
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Royal Palm Village
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Arizona Cowboy
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Fuller Ranch
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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