Neighborhood · Mesa, AZ

Fuller Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower

5 census tracts · pop 21,917 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.8/10 · range 3–5.1

Fuller Ranch is a hispanic-white neighborhood in Mesa with 5 census tracts and a population of 21,917 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.8/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 59% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 24% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,330/month sits 18% lower than the Mesa citywide average ($1,620).

Risk score

3.8

Lower

5 tracts · population-weighted

Fuller Ranch vs Mesa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

58.5% +81%

Mesa: 32.3%

Average gross rent

$1,330 -18%

Mesa: $1,620

Average HH income

$58,910 -25%

Mesa: $78,779

Poverty rate

17.3% +65%

Mesa: 10.5%

Renter share

52.2% +47%

Mesa: 35.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fuller Ranch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 3–5.1

Why Fuller Ranch scores 3.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Rent control risk

59% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

52% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Economic stress

17.3% below poverty line · Range 1.7–8.8 across tracts

4.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.2 across tracts

1.8

Risk score comparison

Fuller Ranch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Fuller Ranch?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 2.1 points from 3 to 5.1. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

5.1 4.3 3.9 3.2 3.0

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

5 tracts in Fuller Ranch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04013421702	5.1	3,942	77%	$1,337
04013421601	4.3	3,077	57%	$1,401
04013421602	3.9	4,445	41%	$1,174
04013421802	3.2	4,601	63%	$1,351
04013421701	3	5,852	56%	$1,389

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 90

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 90%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 72%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 72%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 85%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Fuller Ranch

Aggregated across 5 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

2,798Total filings (sum)
18.60%Avg annual filing rate
33.5%Peak year (2004)
19.80%Latest filed (2005)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Fuller Ranch

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

20.4%Housing insecurity
11.9%Utility shutoff threat
28.8%Food insecurity
22.7%SNAP enrollment
22.4%No health insurance
36.7%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Fuller Ranch

What is the eviction-risk score for Fuller Ranch?

Fuller Ranch scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Fuller Ranch compare to Mesa overall?

Fuller Ranch scores 1.0 points higher than Mesa overall (2.8/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,330 vs $1,620.

What is the average rent in Fuller Ranch?

Average gross rent in Fuller Ranch is $1,330/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Fuller Ranch residents are renters?

52% of Fuller Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Mesa). The neighborhood has 21,917 residents.

Is Fuller Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?

Fuller Ranch sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Fuller Ranch have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Fuller Ranch is census tract 04013421702 (score 5.1/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 5.1, a spread of 2.1 points.

How safe is Fuller Ranch for landlords?

Fuller Ranch carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.8/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mesa as a whole (2.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Fuller Ranch?

Fuller Ranch has 20,991 residents (Hispanic-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (44.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (41.3%), Other / Multiracial (7.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Fuller Ranch

2.7 Summer Place Village 2 tracts · pop 9,293 2.3 Woodridge Lakes 4 tracts · pop 18,992 3.9 Mesa Patios 7 tracts · pop 24,912 3.3 Royal Palm Village 6 tracts · pop 23,352 2.8 Suntrails 2 tracts · pop 11,086 2 Rancho de Arboleda 3 tracts · pop 10,822

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mesa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Fuller Ranch.

3.7 Dobson Shores 6 tracts · pop 12,481 3.9 Mesa Patios 7 tracts · pop 24,912 3.6 Tempe Cascade 5 tracts · pop 20,599 3.5 Velda Rose Estates 3 tracts · pop 11,124 4.1 Arizona Cowboy 3 tracts · pop 11,270 3.5 McQueen 4 tracts · pop 20,349

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