Within neighborhood
25
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally
Fuller Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa
Tract 04013421802 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,601 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
04013421802 is a census tract in the Fuller Ranch area of Mesa, AZ. It scores 3.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,601. 63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,336
Renter share47.9%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$70,125
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
54
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.4063, -111.7963 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fuller Ranch scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,351 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Fuller Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 443Total filings over 5 yrs
- 16.82%Avg annual filing rate
- 24.8%Peak (2004)
- 68Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Fuller Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.0%Housing insecurity
- 13.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.3%Food insecurity
- 26.8%SNAP enrollment
- 16.7%Transit barriers
- 27.5%No health insurance
- 19.2%Frequent mental distress
- 38.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fuller Ranch
The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Food insecurity runs 34.3% against 17.8% nationally.
Adults with no health insurance runs 27.5% against 11.3% nationally. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.9/10.
At $1,351 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Mesa commands. The filing record is not thin: 443 evictions over 5 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2004, when 24.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 16.8% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #56,048 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 9.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013421802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013421802?
Census tract 04013421802 in the Fuller Ranch neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013421802?
Median gross rent is $1,351/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013421802?
10.7% of residents in tract 04013421802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,601.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013421802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 68th, minority 77th, housing 73th.
Q5
Is tract 04013421802 considered part of Fuller Ranch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013421802 fall within Fuller Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013421802?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 443 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013421802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.82% of renter households, peaking at 24.8% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013421802 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013421802 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013421802 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04013422001
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013522802
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
McQueen
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422102
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013941300
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013421302
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Dobson Shores
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Buckhorn
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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