Neighborhood · Ranked #41,101 of 84,120 nationally

Dobson Shores Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mesa

Tract 04013422103 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,337 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

Census tract 04013422103 sits in the Dobson Shores neighborhood of Mesa, Arizona. It has a population of 5,337 and an eviction-risk score of 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). 64% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 32% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,421/month against a median household income of $53,200 — roughly 32% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

5.3

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 55% Stable renters 31% Owners 14%

Tract context

Occupied units2,390

Renter share85.6%

SVI overall0.84

Poverty rate20.2%

Median income$53,200

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.3967, -111.8698 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dobson Shores scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Mesa

3.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

20.2% poverty · this tract

5.0

Supply constraint

$1,421 rent vs county FMR

2.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Mesa

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Mesa

2.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Mesa

2.5

How Dobson Shores compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

90%Socioeconomic
52%Household composition
71%Racial/ethnic minority
78%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

2,732Total filings over 5 yrs
27.47%Avg annual filing rate
31.3%Peak (2001)
578Filings in 2005 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2001 — 2005

Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Dobson Shores. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

18.7%Housing insecurity
11.3%Utility-shutoff threat
25.7%Food insecurity
20.1%SNAP enrollment
14.2%Transit barriers
16.0%No health insurance
20.1%Frequent mental distress
33.5%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 04013422103

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422103?

Census tract 04013422103 in the Dobson Shores neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013422103?

Median gross rent is $1,421/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422103?

20.2% of residents in tract 04013422103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,337.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 52th, minority 71th, housing 78th.

Is tract 04013422103 considered part of Dobson Shores?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422103 fall within Dobson Shores (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422103?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,732 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 27.47% of renter households, peaking at 31.3% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 04013422103 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.3% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013422103 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013422103 scores 5.3/10 — higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.