Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Suntrails Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa
Tract 04013422514 ·
Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,718 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 04013422514 covers part of the Suntrails area of Mesa, AZ, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,718 residents. The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%Stable renters 25%Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,747
Renter share48.1%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$77,532
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Suntrails
Very Low
Within parent city
23th percentile
#103 of 133 tracts In Mesa
Low
Within county
18th percentile
#824 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
40th percentile
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.3867, -111.7456 · click any tract to drill in
Why Suntrails scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,810 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Suntrails compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
72%Socioeconomic
43%Household composition
60%Racial/ethnic minority
55%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
12.6%Housing insecurity
7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
16.6%Food insecurity
12.8%SNAP enrollment
9.4%Transit barriers
11.4%No health insurance
17.3%Frequent mental distress
27.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Suntrails
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.4/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 159 filings here across 5 tracked years.
It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. At $1,810 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of Mesa commands.
Filings peaked in 2001 at 15.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 10.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 49% of renters.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013422514
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422514?
Census tract 04013422514 in the Suntrails neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013422514?
Median gross rent is $1,810/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422514?
5.8% of residents in tract 04013422514 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,718.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422514?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 43th, minority 60th, housing 55th.
Q5
Is tract 04013422514 considered part of Suntrails?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422514 fall within Suntrails (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422514?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 159 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422514 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.80% of renter households, peaking at 15.0% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013422514 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013422514 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013422514 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.