Neighborhood · Ranked #37,857 of 84,120 nationally

Velda Rose Estates Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mesa

Tract 04013422626 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,496 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 04013422626 sits in the Velda Rose Estates neighborhood of Mesa, Arizona. It has a population of 2,496 and an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). 73% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 58% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,929/month against a median household income of $52,838 — roughly 44% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 6% Owners 79%

Tract context

Occupied units1,431

Renter share20.6%

SVI overall0.61

Poverty rate19.2%

Median income$52,838

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.4116, -111.6725 · click any tract to drill in

Why Velda Rose Estates scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Mesa

3.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

19.2% poverty · this tract

4.8

Supply constraint

$1,929 rent vs county FMR

4.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Mesa

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Mesa

2.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Mesa

2.5

How Velda Rose Estates compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

24%Socioeconomic
74%Household composition
8%Racial/ethnic minority
98%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

37Total filings over 5 yrs
4.80%Avg annual filing rate
8.0%Peak (2001)
5Filings in 2005 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2001 — 2005

Filings dropped 58% over the past 5 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Velda Rose Estates. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

6.4%Housing insecurity
4.1%Utility-shutoff threat
11.4%Food insecurity
9.1%SNAP enrollment
6.2%Transit barriers
11.9%No health insurance
11.0%Frequent mental distress
46.0%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 04013422626

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422626?

Census tract 04013422626 in the Velda Rose Estates neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013422626?

Median gross rent is $1,929/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422626?

19.2% of residents in tract 04013422626 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,496.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422626?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 74th, minority 8th, housing 98th.

Is tract 04013422626 considered part of Velda Rose Estates?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422626 fall within Velda Rose Estates (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422626?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 37 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422626 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.80% of renter households, peaking at 8.0% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 04013422626 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013422626 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013422626 scores 5.4/10 — higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.