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Neighborhood · Mesa, AZ

Suntrails Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 11,086 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10 · range 3–3.2

Suntrails takes in 2 census tracts of Mesa, AZ and houses 11,086 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.1/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs 54% against 32.3% citywide, putting Suntrails 21.7% over its own city.

31% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2.3/10.

Filings are well documented here: 462 across 2 observed tracts. On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.5/10.

Filing activity peaked in 2005 at 15.8% of renter households. At $1,801 a month, rents sit 11% over what the rest of Mesa commands. That places it #20 of 33 neighborhoods in Mesa.

Judgments average 5.4% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.2 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $85,651.

36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 3.1/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Suntrails vs Mesa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
54.0% +67%
Mesa: 32.3%
Average gross rent
$1,801 +11%
Mesa: $1,620
Average HH income
$85,651 +9%
Mesa: $78,779
Poverty rate
9.1% -13%
Mesa: 10.5%
Renter share
36.1% +1%
Mesa: 35.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Suntrails and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–3.2

Why Suntrails scores 3.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Rent control risk
54% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
36% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
9.1% below poverty line · Range 1.4–2.9 across tracts
2.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.2–4.3 across tracts
4.2
Risk score comparison

Suntrails vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Suntrails score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.1SuntrailsNeighborhood3.2Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Suntrails

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
04013422501 3.2 6,368 58% $1,794
04013422514 3 4,718 49% $1,810
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 50

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 55%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 35%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 53%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 47%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Suntrails

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 462Total filings (sum)
  • 12.19%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.8%Peak year (2005)
  • 10.59%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Suntrails

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Suntrails

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Suntrails?

Suntrails scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Suntrails compare to Mesa overall?

Suntrails scores 0.1 points lower than Mesa overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,801 vs $1,620.
Q3

What is the average rent in Suntrails?

Average gross rent in Suntrails is $1,801/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Suntrails residents are renters?

36% of Suntrails households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Mesa). The neighborhood has 11,086 residents.
Q5

Is Suntrails a high social-vulnerability area?

Suntrails sits in the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Suntrails have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Suntrails is census tract 04013422501 (score 3.2/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.2, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Suntrails for landlords?

Suntrails carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mesa as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Suntrails?

Suntrails has 10,899 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (62.4%), Hispanic / Latino (26.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (5.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Suntrails

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mesa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Suntrails.

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