Within neighborhood
40
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #56,146 of 84,120 nationally
Fountain of the Sun Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mesa
Tract 04013422659 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 1,995 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 04013422659 sits in the Fountain of the Sun neighborhood of Mesa, Arizona. It has a population of 1,995 and an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). 45% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 10% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,821/month against a median household income of $76,979 — roughly 28% rent-to-income at the medians.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units867
Renter share32.1%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$76,979
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
32
th percentile
Low
Within county
31
th percentile
Low
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.3900, -111.6402 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fountain of the Sun scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,821 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Fountain of the Sun compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 42%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Fountain of the Sun. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.1%Housing insecurity
- 4.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.1%Food insecurity
- 7.0%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 10.2%No health insurance
- 12.3%Frequent mental distress
- 33.8%Any disability
Frequently asked
About tract 04013422659
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422659?
Census tract 04013422659 in the Fountain of the Sun neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013422659?
Median gross rent is $1,821/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422659?
6.1% of residents in tract 04013422659 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,995.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422659?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 42th, minority 51th, housing 63th.
Q5
Is tract 04013422659 considered part of Fountain of the Sun?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422659 fall within Fountain of the Sun (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013422659 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013422659 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013422659 scores 4.8/10 — higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04013421902
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Fuller Ranch
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
04013422107
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Fuller Ranch
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013522802
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
McQueen
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Buckhorn
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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