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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Fountain of the Sun Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa

Tract 04013422659 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 1,995 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Tract 04013422659 sits in the Fountain of the Sun area of Mesa eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 18% Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units867
Renter share32.1%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$76,979

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 6 tracts In Fountain of the Sun
Very Low
Within parent city
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#79 of 133 tracts In Mesa
Moderate
Within county
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#847 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.3900, -111.6402 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fountain of the Sun scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,821 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5

How Fountain of the Sun compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fountain of the Sun risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 422659Mesa: 3.23.2Mesaparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Fountain of the Sun. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fountain of the Sun

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.5/10. 10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

SNAP participation runs 7.0% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.1% against 17.8% nationally. At $1,821 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of Mesa commands.

Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.1/10. 45% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $76,979.

32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013422659

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422659?

Census tract 04013422659 in the Fountain of the Sun neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013422659?

Median gross rent is $1,821/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422659?

6.1% of residents in tract 04013422659 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,995.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422659?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 42th, minority 51th, housing 63th.
Q5

Is tract 04013422659 considered part of Fountain of the Sun?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422659 fall within Fountain of the Sun (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013422659 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013422659 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013422659 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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