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Neighborhood · Ranked #80,791 of 84,120 nationally

Higley Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Gilbert

Tract 04013815100 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,704 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Higley Park in Gilbert is where census tract 04013815100 sits, home to 5,704 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.1/10. That is riskier than about 15% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 27% of renter households, a moderate level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,193 monthly, set against $129,922 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 9% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 7% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,765
Renter share9.1%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$129,922

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Higley Park
Very Low
Within parent city
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#40 of 58 tracts In Gilbert
Low
Within county
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#955 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#1,683 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gilbert and the region

Centroid at 33.3141, -111.7303 · click any tract to drill in

Why Higley Park scores 1.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gilbert
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,193 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gilbert
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gilbert
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gilbert
2.0

How Higley Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Higley Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.31.3This tracttract 815100Gilbert: 2.42.4Gilbertparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 26

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 47Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 19.80%Avg annual filing rate
  • 46.5%Peak (2003)
  • 12Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040138151002001: 7 filings (19.16/100 renter HHs)2002: 4 filings (10.95/100 renter HHs)2003: 17 filings (46.53/100 renter HHs)2004: 7 filings (19.16/100 renter HHs)2005: 12 filings (3.20/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 71% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Higley Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Higley Park

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 6.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Gilbert eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and below the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 26th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013815100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013815100?

Census tract 04013815100 in the Higley Park neighborhood scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013815100?

Median gross rent is $2,193/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013815100?

4.0% of residents in tract 04013815100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,704.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013815100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 59th, minority 62th, housing 33th.
Q5

Is tract 04013815100 considered part of Higley Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013815100 fall within Higley Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013815100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 47 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013815100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.80% of renter households, peaking at 46.5% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013815100 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013815100 compare to Gilbert overall?

Tract 04013815100 scores 1.3/10, lower than the parent city of Gilbert at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gilbert eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gilbert

Top eight tracts in Gilbert ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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