Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Higley Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Gilbert
Tract 04013815203 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,049 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
04013815203 is a census tract in the Higley Park area of Gilbert, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,049 residents. 32% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,280
Renter share38.6%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate3.0%
Median income$118,864
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
37
th percentile
Low
Within county
4
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gilbert and the region
Centroid at 33.3179, -111.7126 · click any tract to drill in
Why Higley Park scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Gilbert
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,040 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gilbert
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gilbert
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gilbert
2.0
How Higley Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 23
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 20%Socioeconomic
- 33%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 26%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Higley Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.6%Food insecurity
- 5.4%SNAP enrollment
- 5.5%Transit barriers
- 6.5%No health insurance
- 14.0%Frequent mental distress
- 20.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Higley Park
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
SNAP participation runs 5.4% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.6% against 17.8% nationally. The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.1/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Average gross rent is $2,040, close to the Gilbert average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013815203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013815203?
Census tract 04013815203 in the Higley Park neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013815203?
Median gross rent is $2,040/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013815203?
3.0% of residents in tract 04013815203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,049.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013815203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 33th, minority 55th, housing 26th.
Q5
Is tract 04013815203 considered part of Higley Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013815203 fall within Higley Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013815203 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013815203 compare to Gilbert overall?
Tract 04013815203 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Gilbert at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gilbert eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Gilbert
Top eight tracts in Gilbert ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
The Bridges at Gilbert
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Gilbert Ranch
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013422305
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
McQueen
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Ocotillo
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Continental at Superstition Springs
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Ray Ranch
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Power Ranch
3
/ 10 · Low
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