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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Ray Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Gilbert

Tract 04013815201 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,088 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 04013815201 in the Ray Ranch area of Gilbert, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,088 residents. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 16% Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,862
Renter share27.4%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$108,284

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Ray Ranch
Very Low
Within parent city
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#6 of 58 tracts In Gilbert
Very High
Within county
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#972 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gilbert and the region

Centroid at 33.3147, -111.6944 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ray Ranch scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gilbert
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,231 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gilbert
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gilbert
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gilbert
2.0

How Ray Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ray Ranch risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 815201Gilbert: 3.23.2Gilbertparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 20

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ray Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ray Ranch

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10. 40% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. SNAP participation runs 6.7% against 15.2% nationally.

The voucher gap is 14.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Food insecurity runs 10.3% against 17.8% nationally.

It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Average gross rent is $2,231, close to the Gilbert average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013815201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013815201?

Census tract 04013815201 in the Ray Ranch neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013815201?

Median gross rent is $2,231/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013815201?

6.0% of residents in tract 04013815201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,088.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013815201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 41th, minority 70th, housing 15th.
Q5

Is tract 04013815201 considered part of Ray Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013815201 fall within Ray Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013815201 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013815201 compare to Gilbert overall?

Tract 04013815201 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Gilbert at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gilbert eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gilbert

Top eight tracts in Gilbert ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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