Ray Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Running cool is economic stress, at 1.3/10. The severe-burden share is 21%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 1.5/10. The voucher gap is 17.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. SNAP participation is 7.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

At $2,299 a month, rents sit 9% over what the rest of Gilbert commands. That places it #3 of 16 neighborhoods in Gilbert. The closest comparables inside the same city are Allen Ranch and Arboreta.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. The 3 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $109,213.

With little internal variation, 3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.