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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Arboreta Eviction Risk: Lower , Gilbert

Tract 04013815401 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,454 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 04013815401 in the Arboreta area of Gilbert, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,454 residents. 48% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 6% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,076
Renter share18.0%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate3.0%
Median income$153,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Arboreta
Very High
Within parent city
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#31 of 58 tracts In Gilbert
Moderate
Within county
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#976 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gilbert and the region

Centroid at 33.2846, -111.7424 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arboreta scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gilbert
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,073 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gilbert
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gilbert
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gilbert
2.0

How Arboreta compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arboreta risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 815401Gilbert: 3.23.2Gilbertparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Arboreta. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arboreta

Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 66% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.

Average gross rent is $3,073, 46% above the Gilbert average. The voucher gap is 57.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. SNAP participation runs 5.4% against 15.2% nationally.

Housing insecurity runs 6.9% against 14.2% nationally. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.

On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013815401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013815401?

Census tract 04013815401 in the Arboreta neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013815401?

Median gross rent is $3,073/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013815401?

3.0% of residents in tract 04013815401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,454.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013815401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 12th, minority 32th, housing 65th.
Q5

Is tract 04013815401 considered part of Arboreta?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013815401 fall within Arboreta (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013815401 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013815401 compare to Gilbert overall?

Tract 04013815401 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Gilbert at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gilbert eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gilbert

Top eight tracts in Gilbert ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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